Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.3%Illinois

29.7%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -237

Iowa

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 76

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreIowa 71

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricIowa

76.5MMH Power Index64.2

125.0Offensive Efficiency118.4

103.3Defensive Efficiency105.2

21.7Net Efficiency13.2

6.7Strength of Schedule5.3

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

66.5Tempo63.0

54.8%Effective FG%56.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.1%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

33.8%Free Throw Rate36.2%

14.5Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–64.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–118.4), defensive efficiency (103.3–105.2), net efficiency (21.7–13.2).

Iowa COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.6–54.8), free throw rate (36.2–33.8).

Final

Illinois

75—69

Iowa

Illinois by 6 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATIowa

28-57FG27-66

49.0%FG%41.0%

10-283PT9-29

36.0%3PT%31.0%

9-11FT6-6

82.0%FT%100.0%

38Rebounds31

9Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists19

12Turnovers8

7Steals5

4Blocks2

11Fouls14

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keaton Wagler	G	34	5-9	4-7	5-6	5	4	0	0	19
Kylan Boswell	G	38	7-13	1-5	2-2	4	3	3	0	17
Andrej Stojakovic	G	33	7-16	1-5	2-3	5	0	2	0	17
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	15	3-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	1	8
David Mirkovic	F	35	3-7	1-3	0-0	12	5	1	0	7
Tomislav Ivisic	C	20	3-6	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	2	7
Ben Humrichous	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	0
Jake Davis	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tavion Banks	G	25	8-14	0-1	0-0	7	5	2	0	16
Tate Sage	G	29	4-6	1-3	4-4	4	1	0	1	13
Bennett Stirtz	G	33	5-17	2-8	0-0	1	6	0	0	12
Cooper Koch	F	34	4-12	2-8	0-0	4	1	0	0	10
Alvaro Folgueiras	F	34	2-9	2-7	2-2	8	3	1	1	8
Isaia Howard	G	12	3-4	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Kael Combs	G	25	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	2	2	0	3
Cam Manyawu	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

113.5Offensive Efficiency104.4

104.4Defensive Efficiency113.5

9.1Net Efficiency-9.1

57.9%Effective FG%47.7%

60.3%True Shooting %50.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate12.0%

19.3%Free Throw Rate9.1%

49.1%3-Point Rate43.9%

1.25Assist / Turnover2.38

Game Summary

Illinois won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.