North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.0%North Carolina Central

66.0%Morgan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorgan State -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMorgan State -194

Morgan State

14-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 74

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreMorgan State 79

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricMorgan State

35.8MMH Power Index37.2

104.9Offensive Efficiency105.1

110.2Defensive Efficiency109.3

-5.3Net Efficiency-4.2

-8.0Strength of Schedule-9.5

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.1

68.5Tempo71.6

49.8%Effective FG%48.6%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.5%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

39.7%Free Throw Rate42.9%

-3.6Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morgan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorgan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (37.2–35.8), offensive efficiency (105.1–104.9), defensive efficiency (109.3–110.2), net efficiency (-4.2–-5.3).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-8.0–-9.5), shooting efficiency (49.8–48.6).

Final

North Carolina Central

89—78

Morgan State

North Carolina Central by 11 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATMorgan State

30-47FG24-55

64.0%FG%44.0%

4-93PT7-22

44.0%3PT%32.0%

25-33FT23-33

76.0%FT%70.0%

28Rebounds31

4Offensive Rebounds12

24Assists14

9Turnovers11

6Steals3

1Blocks2

24Fouls22

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khouri Carvey	F	31	8-10	0-0	5-7	8	3	3	1	21
Gage Lattimore	G	40	7-12	2-5	4-5	6	4	0	0	20
Kelechi Okworogwo	F	18	6-6	0-0	5-7	0	1	0	0	17
Jae Slack	F	29	4-11	0-1	5-6	5	2	0	0	13
Tekao Carpenter	G	38	3-4	2-2	3-4	2	3	1	0	11
Dionte Johnson	G	36	2-4	0-1	3-4	5	10	2	0	7
Justin Edwards	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Gbenga Olubi	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Khalil Arnold	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Morgan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	33	8-12	4-6	9-11	6	0	0	1	29
Christian Meeks	G	38	5-7	0-1	2-6	8	1	1	0	12
Elijah Davis	G	39	3-9	0-2	5-6	3	10	1	0	11
Eugene Alvin	F	21	3-8	1-4	4-6	0	2	1	0	11
Rob Lawson	G	32	3-9	1-4	3-4	4	1	0	0	10
Walter Peggs Jr.	G	13	1-8	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Christian Oliver	C	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
David Bumpass	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Matar Wade	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Dallas James	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

129.5Offensive Efficiency113.5

113.5Defensive Efficiency129.5

16.0Net Efficiency-16.0

68.1%Effective FG%50.0%

71.0%True Shooting %55.2%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.8%

70.2%Free Throw Rate60.0%

19.1%3-Point Rate40.0%

2.67Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

North Carolina Central won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.