UT Rio Grande Valley

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.1%UT Rio Grande Valley

24.9%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUT Rio Grande Valley -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL140.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUT Rio Grande Valley -302

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Rio Grande Valley 73

Projected Total140.1

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 67

Team Comparison

UT Rio Grande ValleyMetricNorthwestern State

55.8MMH Power Index41.3

112.6Offensive Efficiency104.0

103.1Defensive Efficiency109.0

9.5Net Efficiency-5.0

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.6

12.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

67.4Tempo63.6

55.7%Effective FG%49.5%

17.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

29.6%Free Throw Rate41.2%

6.4Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Rio Grande Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Rio Grande Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.8–41.3), offensive efficiency (112.6–104.0), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.0), net efficiency (9.5–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.6–-1.9), ball security (17.6–17.9), free throw rate (41.2–29.6).

Final

UT Rio Grande Valley

63—64

Northwestern State

Northwestern State by 1 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT Rio Grande ValleyTEAM STATNorthwestern State

24-53FG20-49

45.0%FG%41.0%

8-253PT6-20

32.0%3PT%30.0%

7-7FT18-23

100.0%FT%78.0%

29Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists12

14Turnovers13

8Steals7

2Blocks2

20Fouls10

Player Box Score

UT Rio Grande Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Filip Brankovic	F	24	6-10	3-6	4-4	2	1	0	0	19
Koree Cotton	G	28	5-8	2-3	2-2	4	1	1	0	14
Julien Gomez	G	28	4-11	1-6	0-0	4	2	1	0	9
Zae Blake	G	25	3-7	2-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	8
Kwo Agwa	F	15	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	3	2	6
Jaylen Washington	G	36	2-7	0-1	1-1	3	7	2	0	5
Marvin McGhee III	G	23	1-2	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Jalen Ricks	G	16	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Always Wright	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	32	3-13	2-6	9-9	1	5	0	0	17
Willie Williams	F	31	7-11	0-0	0-2	8	1	1	0	14
Chris Mubiru	G	28	4-7	2-5	0-0	4	1	1	1	10
Izzy Miles	G	27	1-4	1-2	4-7	4	1	2	0	7
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	15	2-2	1-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	7
Omar Adegbola	G	21	2-5	0-2	1-1	2	1	2	0	5
CJ Larry	PG	20	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Kordrick Turner	F	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Landyn Jumawan	G	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Chip Brunt	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

95.3Offensive Efficiency96.8

96.8Defensive Efficiency95.3

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

52.8%Effective FG%46.9%

55.9%True Shooting %53.4%

21.1%Turnover Rate19.7%

13.2%Free Throw Rate46.9%

47.2%3-Point Rate40.8%

1.14Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.