Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Auburn

42.7%Missouri

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -134

Missouri

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 81

Projected Total162.2

Projected ScoreMissouri 81

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricMissouri

64.4MMH Power Index57.2

118.8Offensive Efficiency115.1

113.0Defensive Efficiency109.7

5.8Net Efficiency5.4

7.5Strength of Schedule5.0

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

69.8Tempo68.8

53.1%Effective FG%55.2%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.8%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

43.8%Free Throw Rate43.1%

4.1Average Margin3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–57.2), offensive efficiency (118.8–115.1), net efficiency (5.8–5.4), strength of schedule (7.5–5.0).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.7–113.0), shooting efficiency (55.2–53.1).

Final

Auburn

74—84

Missouri

Missouri by 10 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATMissouri

24-59FG27-48

41.0%FG%56.0%

6-213PT9-19

29.0%3PT%47.0%

20-28FT21-31

71.0%FT%68.0%

34Rebounds32

15Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists18

11Turnovers13

7Steals7

4Blocks5

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevin Overton	G	32	4-10	3-7	2-2	1	0	1	0	13
Elyjah Freeman	G	27	4-8	2-4	3-6	2	0	0	1	13
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	19	4-5	1-1	3-3	3	1	0	1	12
Keyshawn Hall	F	38	2-9	0-3	6-8	9	7	0	1	10
Tahaad Pettiford	G	32	3-12	0-5	3-4	3	2	2	0	9
KeShawn Murphy	F	21	3-9	0-0	3-4	8	0	1	0	9
Filip Jovic	F	22	4-4	0-0	0-1	5	0	2	1	8
Blake Muschalek	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Stone	G	35	7-10	2-5	6-6	6	3	2	1	22
Mark Mitchell	G	37	7-13	0-1	6-14	5	5	1	1	20
Trent Pierce	G	28	6-8	5-7	1-1	3	3	2	0	18
T.O. Barrett	G	23	4-5	0-1	5-6	3	3	2	0	13
Anthony Robinson II	G	26	1-4	1-2	2-2	2	4	0	0	5
Jacob Crews	G	16	1-2	1-2	1-2	4	0	0	0	4
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	2
Annor Boateng	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Nicholas Randall	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Northweather	F	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

108.0Offensive Efficiency122.6

122.6Defensive Efficiency108.0

-14.6Net Efficiency14.6

45.8%Effective FG%65.6%

51.2%True Shooting %67.0%

16.1%Turnover Rate18.9%

47.5%Free Throw Rate64.6%

35.6%3-Point Rate39.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Missouri won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.