Indiana

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.2%Indiana

85.8%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -11.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -604

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana 69

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreMichigan State 81

Team Comparison

IndianaMetricMichigan State

58.2MMH Power Index69.8

116.0Offensive Efficiency117.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency101.5

8.9Net Efficiency15.5

5.2Strength of Schedule7.2

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

67.4Tempo67.3

56.0%Effective FG%54.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

35.8%Free Throw Rate36.6%

6.0Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–58.2), offensive efficiency (117.0–116.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.1), net efficiency (15.5–8.9).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.0–54.1), ball security (15.1–17.2).

Final

Indiana

60—81

Michigan State

Michigan State by 21 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IndianaTEAM STATMichigan State

21-49FG27-53

43.0%FG%51.0%

10-313PT8-26

32.0%3PT%31.0%

8-11FT19-24

73.0%FT%79.0%

19Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists17

14Turnovers15

8Steals8

2Blocks2

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lamar Wilkerson	G	37	6-14	5-11	2-2	0	1	2	0	19
Tucker DeVries	F	33	3-10	1-7	2-2	2	3	1	0	9
Nick Dorn	G	28	2-6	2-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Sam Alexis	F	16	3-5	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	6
Conor Enright	G	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Tayton Conerway	G	36	2-5	0-2	1-2	3	9	2	0	5
Reed Bailey	F	18	1-3	0-0	3-4	7	1	0	1	5
Trent Sisley	F	16	2-3	0-1	0-1	2	0	1	0	4

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	33	8-14	1-6	6-8	4	10	2	0	23
Jaxon Kohler	F	28	5-9	1-4	5-6	10	0	2	0	16
Jordan Scott	F	21	4-6	3-4	0-0	3	2	2	0	11
Kur Teng	G	17	4-10	3-7	0-0	0	1	0	1	11
Carson Cooper	C	22	1-2	0-0	5-6	7	3	1	1	7
Coen Carr	F	31	2-4	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Cam Ward	F	14	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	5
Divine Ugochukwu	G	23	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Denham Wojcik	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jesse McCulloch	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trey Fort	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Colin Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brennan Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

92.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency92.6

-32.4Net Efficiency32.4

53.1%Effective FG%58.5%

55.3%True Shooting %62.9%

22.1%Turnover Rate22.6%

22.4%Free Throw Rate45.3%

63.3%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.21Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.