Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.3%Illinois

13.7%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -630

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 81

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 70

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricNorthwestern

76.5MMH Power Index55.4

125.0Offensive Efficiency111.6

103.3Defensive Efficiency109.8

21.7Net Efficiency1.8

6.7Strength of Schedule5.6

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

66.5Tempo65.6

54.8%Effective FG%51.9%

13.1%Turnover Rate13.0%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

33.8%Free Throw Rate34.8%

14.5Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–55.4), offensive efficiency (125.0–111.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.8), net efficiency (21.7–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–13.1), free throw rate (34.8–33.8).

Final

Illinois

79—68

Northwestern

Illinois by 11 • 59.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATNorthwestern

30-63FG22-56

48.0%FG%39.0%

11-303PT9-25

37.0%3PT%36.0%

8-8FT15-17

100.0%FT%88.0%

33Rebounds30

14Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists12

8Turnovers7

6Steals5

2Blocks5

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keaton Wagler	G	33	8-17	3-7	3-3	5	3	0	0	22
Tomislav Ivisic	C	26	8-15	4-10	1-1	7	1	0	0	21
Kylan Boswell	G	37	6-11	0-2	1-1	4	6	2	0	13
David Mirkovic	F	29	2-4	2-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	6
Jake Davis	F	20	2-3	1-2	1-1	1	1	1	0	6
Ben Humrichous	F	15	1-5	1-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	5
Andrej Stojakovic	G	23	2-5	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	2	2
Brandon Lee	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Reid	G	32	9-15	4-6	6-7	4	3	2	0	28
Nick Martinelli	F	37	5-12	2-4	8-8	4	2	0	0	20
Arrinten Page	F	30	3-7	1-3	0-0	8	1	0	2	7
Tre Singleton	F	34	3-11	0-4	0-0	6	1	1	0	6
Angelo Ciaravino	G	19	1-4	1-2	1-2	1	0	1	1	4
Jake West	G	21	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	1	3
Max Green	G	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	1	0
Jordan Clayton	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Tyler Kropp	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.5Possessions59.5

132.8Offensive Efficiency114.3

114.3Defensive Efficiency132.8

18.5Net Efficiency-18.5

56.3%Effective FG%47.3%

59.1%True Shooting %53.1%

13.2%Turnover Rate12.1%

12.7%Free Throw Rate30.4%

47.6%3-Point Rate44.6%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Illinois won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 59.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.