Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.9%Kentucky

36.1%LSU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -177

LSU

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 82

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreLSU 79

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricLSU

63.9MMH Power Index54.2

115.2Offensive Efficiency115.5

106.3Defensive Efficiency111.3

8.9Net Efficiency4.2

8.7Strength of Schedule4.5

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.8

69.9Tempo70.5

53.2%Effective FG%53.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

38.0%Free Throw Rate41.9%

6.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–54.2), defensive efficiency (106.3–111.3), net efficiency (8.9–4.2), strength of schedule (8.7–4.5).

LSU COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.5–115.2), shooting efficiency (53.4–53.2), free throw rate (41.9–38.0).

Final

Kentucky

75—74

LSU

Kentucky by 1 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATLSU

25-56FG23-47

45.0%FG%49.0%

10-233PT9-19

43.0%3PT%47.0%

15-22FT19-28

68.0%FT%68.0%

29Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists12

9Turnovers12

7Steals4

3Blocks6

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Otega Oweh	G	37	6-13	3-6	6-10	4	1	2	0	21
Denzel Aberdeen	G	34	5-8	2-3	5-5	1	4	0	0	17
Andrija Jelavic	F	21	4-7	2-4	1-2	5	0	1	1	11
Malachi Moreno	C	20	4-7	0-0	2-3	8	2	2	1	10
Collin Chandler	G	25	3-6	2-4	1-2	3	3	1	0	9
Kam Williams	G	28	2-6	1-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	5
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Brandon Garrison	F	15	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Jasper Johnson	G	8	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Mackinnon	G	37	4-16	2-7	6-6	3	3	0	0	16
Marquel Sutton	F	30	5-9	3-4	3-4	6	0	0	0	16
Rashad King	G	27	5-6	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	2	12
Jalen Reece	G	30	2-7	2-5	5-6	5	4	0	0	11
Pablo Tamba	F	29	3-4	2-2	2-6	4	2	0	1	10
Robert Miller III	F	23	3-3	0-0	0-2	7	2	2	2	6
Mike Nwoko	F	20	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	3
Mazi Mosley	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

112.1Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency112.1

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

53.6%Effective FG%58.5%

56.4%True Shooting %61.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

39.3%Free Throw Rate59.6%

41.1%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.