UCLA

24-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.8%UCLA

14.2%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -604

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCLA 81

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScorePenn State 71

Team Comparison

UCLAMetricPenn State

63MMH Power Index42.3

115.9Offensive Efficiency109.2

106.9Defensive Efficiency117.6

9.0Net Efficiency-8.4

5.1Strength of Schedule5.3

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

66.5Tempo67.5

53.5%Effective FG%53.4%

13.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

33.8%Free Throw Rate34.6%

6.0Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCLA HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCLA holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.0–42.3), offensive efficiency (115.9–109.2), defensive efficiency (106.9–117.6), net efficiency (9.0–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–5.1), free throw rate (34.6–33.8).

Final

UCLA

71—60

Penn State

UCLA by 11 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCLATEAM STATPenn State

20-47FG20-46

43.0%FG%43.0%

10-263PT4-22

38.0%3PT%18.0%

21-21FT16-17

100.0%FT%94.0%

32Rebounds21

11Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists12

14Turnovers12

4Steals5

2Blocks1

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent Perry	G	38	7-13	4-8	12-12	3	4	2	0	30
Tyler Bilodeau	F	32	7-13	4-7	3-3	9	2	1	1	21
Steven Jamerson II	F	24	3-3	0-0	2-2	8	1	1	0	8
Eric Freeny	G	23	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Jamar Brown	G	18	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	15	0-3	0-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Brandon Williams	G	9	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Donovan Dent	G	29	0-6	0-0	0-0	0	5	0	0	0
Xavier Booker	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominick Stewart	G	37	5-12	1-7	5-5	5	3	0	0	16
Eli Rice	G	28	5-12	2-7	2-2	0	0	2	0	14
Josh Reed	F	31	3-4	0-0	6-6	3	0	1	0	12
Ivan Juric	F	35	4-6	0-1	1-2	9	1	1	0	9
Melih Tunca	G	33	1-6	1-4	2-2	1	3	1	1	5
Mason Blackwood	F	22	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Freddie Dilione V	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Saša Ciani	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

118.1Offensive Efficiency99.8

99.8Defensive Efficiency118.1

18.3Net Efficiency-18.3

53.2%Effective FG%47.8%

62.3%True Shooting %55.5%

23.3%Turnover Rate20.0%

44.7%Free Throw Rate37.0%

55.3%3-Point Rate47.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UCLA won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.