North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.0%North Carolina

46.0%Stanford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -117

Stanford

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 76

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreStanford 76

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricStanford

65.2MMH Power Index59.2

115.5Offensive Efficiency111.6

103.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

11.7Net Efficiency4.5

7.6Strength of Schedule5.2

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.4

69.0Tempo68.1

54.6%Effective FG%51.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

38.1%Free Throw Rate37.2%

8.1Average Margin3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–59.2), offensive efficiency (115.5–111.6), defensive efficiency (103.8–107.1), net efficiency (11.7–4.5).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.4–-1.8), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.1).

Final

North Carolina

90—95

Stanford

Stanford by 5 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATStanford

32-55FG32-56

58.0%FG%57.0%

6-163PT16-28

38.0%3PT%57.0%

20-32FT15-23

63.0%FT%65.0%

33Rebounds23

8Offensive Rebounds2

7Assists20

11Turnovers8

4Steals6

2Blocks—

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Wilson	F	36	11-16	0-0	4-7	9	2	2	1	26
Henri Veesaar	C	32	9-12	2-2	6-11	6	1	0	1	26
Seth Trimble	G	36	5-9	1-3	2-4	6	0	2	0	13
Luka Bogavac	G	19	4-9	1-4	4-4	2	1	0	0	13
Jarin Stevenson	F	27	1-1	1-1	4-6	3	0	0	0	7
Kyan Evans	G	28	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Jonathan Powell	G	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Derek Dixon	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jaydon Young	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zayden High	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ebuka Okorie	G	36	12-20	3-5	9-11	3	9	2	36
Ryan Agarwal	G	34	7-11	5-9	1-2	6	1	1	20
Jeremy Dent-Smith	G	21	7-8	6-7	0-0	0	1	0	20
AJ Rohosy	F	24	2-6	0-0	1-4	6	1	0	5
Benny Gealer	G	23	1-2	1-2	2-2	0	3	2	5
Aidan Cammann	F	24	1-2	0-1	2-4	4	4	1	4
Cameron Grant	F	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	3
Oskar Giltay	F	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Donavin Young	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

123.1Offensive Efficiency130.0

130.0Defensive Efficiency123.1

-6.8Net Efficiency6.8

63.6%Effective FG%71.4%

64.1%True Shooting %71.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate11.0%

58.2%Free Throw Rate41.1%

29.1%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.64Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Stanford won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.