Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

90.9%Duke

9.1%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -999

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 82

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreCalifornia 68

Team Comparison

DukeMetricCalifornia

81.7MMH Power Index56.5

122.2Offensive Efficiency111.8

95.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

27.0Net Efficiency7.0

7.8Strength of Schedule2.8

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

66.8Tempo69.9

56.9%Effective FG%52.6%

15.9%Turnover Rate14.9%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

39.0%Free Throw Rate36.8%

18.0Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–56.5), offensive efficiency (122.2–111.8), defensive efficiency (95.2–104.8), net efficiency (27.0–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–15.9).

Final

Duke

71—56

California

Duke by 15 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATCalifornia

28-62FG19-52

45.0%FG%37.0%

7-323PT5-23

22.0%3PT%22.0%

8-17FT13-17

47.0%FT%76.0%

44Rebounds30

16Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists9

10Turnovers11

6Steals8

5Blocks1

17Fouls22

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	31	9-16	0-3	3-5	13	3	0	0	21
Isaiah Evans	G	30	6-15	4-13	1-3	1	1	1	3	17
Nikolas Khamenia	G	25	4-9	1-5	1-1	4	0	0	0	10
Caleb Foster	G	28	4-8	1-5	0-0	4	3	0	0	9
Patrick Ngongba II	C	23	3-5	0-1	2-5	7	2	1	1	8
Dame Sarr	G	23	2-7	1-4	0-1	4	2	2	1	5
Cayden Boozer	G	14	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
Maliq Brown	F	22	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	3	2	0	0
Darren Harris	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Sheffield	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lee Dort	F	27	5-8	0-0	4-6	9	0	1	0	14
John Camden	F	24	4-6	3-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Justin Pippen	G	33	2-11	1-5	5-7	3	3	5	0	10
Dai Dai Ames	G	33	3-11	0-2	2-2	1	3	0	0	8
Chris Bell	F	25	2-12	1-10	0-0	3	0	1	1	5
Milos Ilic	C	18	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
DeJuan Campbell	G	14	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	4
Semetri Carr	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mantas Kocanas	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nolan Dorsey	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Butler	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
BJ Fisher	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

109.9Offensive Efficiency86.7

86.7Defensive Efficiency109.9

23.2Net Efficiency-23.2

50.8%Effective FG%41.3%

50.7%True Shooting %46.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.9%

27.4%Free Throw Rate32.7%

51.6%3-Point Rate44.2%

1.60Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Duke won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.