Creighton

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Creighton

71.3%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL164.2

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -248

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCreighton 79

Projected Total164.2

Projected ScoreProvidence 85

Team Comparison

CreightonMetricProvidence

50.6MMH Power Index54.2

109.0Offensive Efficiency115.0

109.5Defensive Efficiency113.2

-0.5Net Efficiency1.8

5.1Strength of Schedule4.0

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

68.9Tempo74.2

53.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.7%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

29.0%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-0.3Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–50.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.5), recent form (-1.3–-5.2).

Creighton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–113.2), strength of schedule (5.1–4.0), ball security (16.6–16.7).

Final

Creighton

88—93

Providence

Providence by 5 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CreightonTEAM STATProvidence

27-66FG31-69

41.0%FG%45.0%

10-303PT6-25

33.0%3PT%24.0%

24-29FT25-35

83.0%FT%71.0%

37Rebounds46

14Offensive Rebounds19

15Assists13

10Turnovers10

6Steals7

2Blocks3

23Fouls24

Player Box Score

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jasen Green	F	35	8-10	1-1	9-11	7	4	1	1	26
Josh Dix	G	33	6-12	3-6	2-2	3	2	2	0	17
Blake Harper	G	26	4-10	2-4	6-7	8	4	1	0	16
Nik Graves	G	25	5-10	2-5	1-2	4	2	0	0	13
Fedor Zugic	G	20	2-4	1-2	2-2	0	1	1	0	7
Austin Swartz	G	27	1-13	0-8	4-5	3	1	0	0	6
Isaac Traudt	F	14	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Ty Davis	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Kerem Konan	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Hudson Greer	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stefan Vaaks	G	37	8-18	2-10	6-6	2	7	1	0	24
Jamier Jones	F	34	8-16	0-0	2-6	11	0	3	0	18
Ryan Mela	G	24	4-5	1-1	5-6	4	1	0	0	14
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	23	6-9	0-0	2-4	13	0	0	1	14
Duncan Powell	F	32	3-9	3-8	1-2	7	0	1	0	10
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	29	2-5	0-2	5-7	5	3	1	1	9
Jaylin Sellers	G	18	0-7	0-4	4-4	0	1	0	1	4
Nilavan Daniels	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

115.5Offensive Efficiency122.0

122.0Defensive Efficiency115.5

-6.6Net Efficiency6.6

48.5%Effective FG%49.3%

55.2%True Shooting %54.3%

13.2%Turnover Rate13.1%

43.9%Free Throw Rate50.7%

45.5%3-Point Rate36.2%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Providence won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.