Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.2%Minnesota

96.8%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -21.9

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -3025

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 62

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreIllinois 84

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricIllinois

50.5MMH Power Index76.5

109.1Offensive Efficiency125.0

107.7Defensive Efficiency103.3

1.4Net Efficiency21.7

3.2Strength of Schedule6.7

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

63.6Tempo66.5

54.1%Effective FG%54.8%

16.5%Turnover Rate13.1%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

36.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

0.9Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–50.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–109.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.7), net efficiency (21.7–1.4).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.9–33.8).

Final

Minnesota

67—77

Illinois

Illinois by 10 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATIllinois

26-65FG24-59

40.0%FG%41.0%

12-353PT13-35

34.0%3PT%37.0%

3-3FT16-19

100.0%FT%84.0%

31Rebounds42

11Offensive Rebounds17

16Assists16

7Turnovers10

7Steals5

2Blocks4

16Fouls9

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	29	8-18	5-12	1-1	8	3	1	0	22
Cade Tyson	G	39	6-13	1-3	2-2	8	1	1	1	15
Langston Reynolds	G	37	5-8	1-3	0-0	2	5	1	0	11
Isaac Asuma	G	36	3-12	3-8	0-0	7	4	2	1	9
Bobby Durkin	F	39	2-8	1-6	0-0	1	3	2	0	5
Kai Shinholster	G	9	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Grayson Grove	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	18	5-8	2-5	6-6	9	0	2	3	18
Keaton Wagler	G	38	5-12	4-8	3-4	4	5	2	0	17
David Mirkovic	F	32	4-10	3-5	1-2	8	2	0	1	12
Tomislav Ivisic	C	26	4-9	2-4	0-0	7	1	0	0	10
Kylan Boswell	G	30	2-6	1-4	4-5	3	3	1	0	9
Andrej Stojakovic	G	22	2-5	1-2	2-2	2	3	0	0	7
Mihailo Petrovic	G	7	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Jake Davis	F	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ben Humrichous	F	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

108.6Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency108.6

-16.2Net Efficiency16.2

49.2%Effective FG%51.7%

50.4%True Shooting %56.6%

11.2%Turnover Rate16.4%

4.6%Free Throw Rate32.2%

53.8%3-Point Rate59.3%

2.29Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Illinois won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.