Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.9%Iowa State

35.1%Texas Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -185

Texas Tech

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 78

Projected Total152.3

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 74

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricTexas Tech

75.9MMH Power Index65.8

119.3Offensive Efficiency117.8

96.0Defensive Efficiency107.2

23.3Net Efficiency10.6

4.9Strength of Schedule9.4

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

68.4Tempo68.1

56.1%Effective FG%56.4%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.8%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

35.2%Free Throw Rate28.2%

15.9Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–65.8), offensive efficiency (119.3–117.8), defensive efficiency (96.0–107.2), net efficiency (23.3–10.6).

Texas Tech COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (9.4–4.9), shooting efficiency (56.4–56.1).

Final

Iowa State

85—84

Texas Tech

Iowa State by 1 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATTexas Tech

31-59FG28-66

53.0%FG%42.0%

6-173PT9-20

35.0%3PT%45.0%

17-24FT19-24

71.0%FT%79.0%

31Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds16

12Assists16

15Turnovers15

11Steals5

3Blocks1

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Curtis Jones	Guard	35	8-15	3-7	7-8	1	0	2	0	26
Joshua Jefferson	F	38	6-10	0-1	5-6	8	1	1	0	17
Keshon Gilbert	Guard	37	5-11	1-2	3-6	2	4	4	0	14
Tamin Lipsey	G	33	3-5	1-3	2-2	0	2	4	1	9
Dishon Jackson	C	13	4-5	0-0	0-2	0	1	0	1	8
Milan Momcilovic	F	17	2-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Brandton Chatfield	Forward	21	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	1	4
Nate Heise	G	31	1-6	0-3	0-0	9	2	0	0	2

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chance McMillian	Guard	43	6-11	1-3	5-6	8	0	0	0	18
Christian Anderson	G	38	6-11	4-4	2-2	3	2	2	0	18
JT Toppin	F	34	8-16	1-2	1-2	9	0	0	0	18
Darrion Williams	F	37	5-14	2-3	3-4	6	2	1	0	15
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	31	1-6	0-3	5-6	1	10	1	1	7
Kevin Overton	G	16	1-6	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Federiko Federiko	F	15	0-0	0-0	3-4	4	2	1	0	3
Kerwin Walton	Guard	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

111.3Offensive Efficiency109.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency111.3

1.3Net Efficiency-1.3

57.6%Effective FG%49.2%

60.4%True Shooting %54.3%

19.6%Turnover Rate19.6%

40.7%Free Throw Rate36.4%

28.8%3-Point Rate30.3%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.