Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.9%Iowa State

25.1%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -298

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 75

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreCincinnati 69

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricCincinnati

75.9MMH Power Index61.5

119.3Offensive Efficiency105.3

96.0Defensive Efficiency97.3

23.3Net Efficiency8.0

4.9Strength of Schedule5.1

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

68.4Tempo69.4

56.1%Effective FG%50.6%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.0%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

35.2%Free Throw Rate30.7%

15.9Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–61.5), offensive efficiency (119.3–105.3), defensive efficiency (96.0–97.3), net efficiency (23.3–8.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.1–4.9).

Final

Iowa State

70—79

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 9 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATCincinnati

22-51FG30-69

43.0%FG%43.0%

9-213PT10-34

43.0%3PT%29.0%

17-27FT9-12

63.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds39

11Offensive Rebounds15

11Assists15

12Turnovers8

4Steals8

2Blocks4

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	34	9-18	8-14	8-10	1	0	0	0	34
Joshua Jefferson	F	35	4-12	0-1	8-10	9	5	0	0	16
Tamin Lipsey	G	33	3-7	1-3	0-3	7	4	1	0	7
Blake Buchanan	F	26	2-4	0-0	0-2	5	1	0	1	4
Nate Heise	G	25	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Killyan Toure	G	23	2-4	0-1	0-0	5	1	2	0	4
Dominykas Pleta	F	8	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Dominick Nelson	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Jamarion Batemon	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Day Day Thomas	G	26	8-18	3-10	0-0	2	1	2	1	19
Jizzle James	G	30	6-12	1-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	15
Jalen Celestine	G	26	4-10	4-10	0-0	5	2	0	0	12
Sencire Harris	G	20	3-8	0-2	6-8	4	2	2	1	12
Baba Miller	F	34	3-7	1-3	1-2	12	4	1	2	8
Moustapha Thiam	C	22	2-5	1-2	0-0	6	2	1	0	5
Keyshuan Tillery	G	19	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	4
Tyler McKinley	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Shon Abaev	G	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

105.6Offensive Efficiency119.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency105.6

-13.6Net Efficiency13.6

52.0%Effective FG%50.7%

54.8%True Shooting %52.9%

18.5%Turnover Rate11.8%

52.9%Free Throw Rate17.4%

41.2%3-Point Rate49.3%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.