North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.3%North Carolina

38.7%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -158

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 78

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreCalifornia 76

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricCalifornia

65.2MMH Power Index56.5

115.5Offensive Efficiency111.8

103.8Defensive Efficiency104.8

11.7Net Efficiency7.0

7.6Strength of Schedule2.8

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

69.0Tempo69.9

54.6%Effective FG%52.6%

13.9%Turnover Rate14.9%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

38.1%Free Throw Rate36.8%

8.1Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–56.5), offensive efficiency (115.5–111.8), defensive efficiency (103.8–104.8), net efficiency (11.7–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHrecent form (1.8–-1.8).

Final

North Carolina

78—84

California

California by 6 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATCalifornia

26-56FG29-58

46.0%FG%50.0%

9-273PT14-26

33.0%3PT%54.0%

17-28FT12-16

61.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists20

11Turnovers13

10Steals6

4Blocks1

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Wilson	F	34	6-12	0-1	5-6	5	4	4	2	17
Henri Veesaar	C	33	5-11	1-6	3-8	10	2	2	1	14
Derek Dixon	G	30	5-11	4-8	0-0	1	3	1	0	14
Seth Trimble	G	29	2-6	1-2	7-8	2	4	1	0	12
Luka Bogavac	G	20	3-5	1-2	0-0	5	2	1	0	7
Zayden High	F	8	3-5	0-2	0-2	1	0	0	0	6
Jaydon Young	G	14	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	0	1	0	5
Jonathan Powell	G	11	1-1	1-1	0-2	3	0	0	0	3
Jarin Stevenson	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Kyan Evans	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Camden	F	34	7-14	4-8	2-3	2	4	1	0	20
Justin Pippen	G	34	5-8	3-4	6-6	4	5	1	0	19
Dai Dai Ames	G	32	8-14	3-5	0-0	0	3	0	0	19
Lee Dort	F	24	3-7	0-0	1-3	12	2	2	0	7
Chris Bell	F	24	1-6	1-4	3-3	1	0	0	0	6
Milos Ilic	C	14	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	2	1	1	5
DeJuan Campbell	G	14	2-3	1-1	0-1	3	1	0	0	5
Mantas Kocanas	C	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Semetri Carr	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Nolan Dorsey	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

110.8Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency110.8

-8.5Net Efficiency8.5

54.5%Effective FG%62.1%

56.3%True Shooting %64.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate18.4%

50.0%Free Throw Rate27.6%

48.2%3-Point Rate44.8%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

California won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.