Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

90.6%Purdue

9.4%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -964

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 85

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreUSC 73

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricUSC

73.2MMH Power Index48.3

124.8Offensive Efficiency108.5

107.8Defensive Efficiency107.6

17.0Net Efficiency0.9

7.6Strength of Schedule2.5

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

65.4Tempo72.4

57.8%Effective FG%50.7%

13.7%Turnover Rate17.2%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

29.1%Free Throw Rate45.3%

11.1Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–48.3), offensive efficiency (124.8–108.5), net efficiency (17.0–0.9), strength of schedule (7.6–2.5).

USC COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.6–107.8), free throw rate (45.3–29.1).

Final

Purdue

69—64

USC

Purdue by 5 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATUSC

23-55FG28-61

42.0%FG%46.0%

7-213PT3-20

33.0%3PT%15.0%

16-22FT5-14

73.0%FT%36.0%

32Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists16

8Turnovers13

7Steals6

1Blocks5

15Fouls22

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Smith	G	38	7-14	4-6	4-4	4	5	3	0	22
Oscar Cluff	C	23	7-8	0-0	5-6	6	4	1	0	19
Fletcher Loyer	G	18	2-5	0-3	3-4	4	1	0	0	7
Gicarri Harris	G	14	1-3	1-3	3-4	1	1	0	0	6
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	24	2-8	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	5
Jack Benter	G	20	2-4	1-3	0-0	7	2	1	0	5
Omer Mayer	G	19	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
C.J. Cox	G	31	1-9	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Daniel Jacobsen	C	13	0-1	0-1	0-2	3	1	0	1	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	33	7-17	1-7	0-0	5	3	1	3	15
Jacob Cofie	F	35	6-9	1-2	0-2	15	3	1	1	13
Ezra Ausar	F	24	4-6	0-0	3-6	8	1	0	0	11
Gabe Dynes	C	28	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	8
Kam Woods	G	24	3-5	0-1	2-2	2	1	2	0	8
Jaden Brownell	F	17	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Jordan Marsh	G	27	2-12	0-6	0-4	3	3	2	0	4
Ryan Cornish	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Terrance Williams II	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

99.9Offensive Efficiency92.6

92.6Defensive Efficiency99.9

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

48.2%Effective FG%48.4%

52.7%True Shooting %47.3%

11.9%Turnover Rate18.4%

40.0%Free Throw Rate23.0%

38.2%3-Point Rate32.8%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Purdue won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.