Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%Providence

57.4%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarquette -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMarquette -135

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 81

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreMarquette 84

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricMarquette

54.2MMH Power Index52.3

115.0Offensive Efficiency106.0

113.2Defensive Efficiency106.9

1.8Net Efficiency-0.9

4.0Strength of Schedule4.2

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

74.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%50.5%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

37.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.3Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–52.3), offensive efficiency (115.0–106.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–50.5).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–113.2), strength of schedule (4.2–4.0), recent form (3.5–-1.3).

Final

Providence

104—105

Marquette

Marquette by 1 • 81.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATMarquette

32-64FG39-73

50.0%FG%53.0%

11-273PT8-23

41.0%3PT%35.0%

29-33FT19-30

88.0%FT%63.0%

42Rebounds30

14Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists22

17Turnovers6

2Steals16

4Blocks4

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	38	8-16	1-5	10-13	3	5	1	0	27
Stefan Vaaks	G	40	7-18	6-15	6-6	1	4	0	1	26
Jamier Jones	F	37	5-11	0-2	7-8	9	0	0	0	17
Duncan Powell	F	14	4-5	3-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	11
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	37	3-5	1-1	2-2	6	4	0	0	9
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	36	3-6	0-0	1-1	15	3	1	3	7
Nilavan Daniels	G	3	0-0	0-0	3-3	0	0	0	0	3
Ryan Mela	G	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Peteris Pinnis	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nigel James Jr.	G	42	13-20	4-6	8-11	3	8	2	0	38
Royce Parham	F	41	8-12	1-3	1-2	4	1	1	4	18
Chase Ross	G	39	5-14	0-2	6-11	4	6	7	0	16
Ben Gold	F	35	6-12	1-6	1-2	3	1	1	0	14
Damarius Owens	F	24	4-7	1-2	3-3	6	0	1	0	12
Adrien Stevens	G	29	3-7	1-4	0-1	4	4	3	0	7
Michael Phillips II	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tre Norman	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Caedin Hamilton	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.5Possessions81.5

127.6Offensive Efficiency128.8

128.8Defensive Efficiency127.6

-1.2Net Efficiency1.2

58.6%Effective FG%58.9%

65.3%True Shooting %60.2%

20.6%Turnover Rate7.5%

51.6%Free Throw Rate41.1%

42.2%3-Point Rate31.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover3.67

Game Summary

Marquette won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 81.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.