Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.5%Fairfield

71.5%Siena

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSiena -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL140.7

MODEL MONEYLINESiena -251

Siena

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 67

Projected Total140.7

Projected ScoreSiena 74

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricSiena

50.1MMH Power Index53.8

109.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

105.4Defensive Efficiency102.2

4.2Net Efficiency7.0

-3.4Strength of Schedule-0.5

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.0

67.8Tempo64.4

49.1%Effective FG%50.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.8%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

28.4%Free Throw Rate34.9%

2.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–50.1), defensive efficiency (102.2–105.4), net efficiency (7.0–4.2), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.4).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–109.2), recent form (3.3–3.0), ball security (15.0–15.8).

Final

Fairfield

77—85

Siena

Siena by 8 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATSiena

29-58FG31-46

50.0%FG%67.0%

8-263PT7-14

31.0%3PT%50.0%

11-13FT16-19

85.0%FT%84.0%

20Rebounds25

8Offensive Rebounds4

12Assists20

9Turnovers13

9Steals3

—Blocks3

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brandon Benjamin	F	37	10-11	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	20
Braden Sparks	G	22	6-13	3-8	3-3	1	1	0	18
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	32	4-7	0-1	4-5	4	3	0	12
Tony Williams	G	27	4-8	2-6	0-0	2	4	2	10
Halon Rawlins	G	20	3-7	1-3	2-2	1	0	2	9
Deuce Turner	G	17	1-6	1-3	2-3	0	1	2	5
Eric Mejia	G	26	1-3	1-2	0-0	4	2	1	3
Ryan Zan	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Nasir Rodriguez	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0
Isaac Munkadi	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Cam Estevez	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Doty	G	33	9-9	2-2	4-6	6	3	2	0	24
Justice Shoats	G	39	8-12	1-2	4-4	4	5	0	1	21
Brendan Coyle	F	36	5-10	4-8	5-5	5	2	0	0	19
Francis Folefac	F	26	4-6	0-0	1-2	3	4	0	0	9
Antonio Chandler	F	26	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	1	6
Riley Mulvey	C	26	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	1	6
Christian Jones	G	14	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

119.2Offensive Efficiency131.6

131.6Defensive Efficiency119.2

-12.4Net Efficiency12.4

56.9%Effective FG%75.0%

60.0%True Shooting %77.2%

13.8%Turnover Rate20.3%

22.4%Free Throw Rate41.3%

44.8%3-Point Rate30.4%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

Siena won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.