Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Montana State

62.7%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -168

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 77

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 81

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricNorthern Colorado

53.6MMH Power Index53.7

114.4Offensive Efficiency116.0

104.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

9.5Net Efficiency8.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule-4.3

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

68.1Tempo71.1

55.1%Effective FG%56.9%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

30.7%Free Throw Rate27.8%

6.5Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.9–107.6), net efficiency (9.5–8.4), strength of schedule (-3.7–-4.3), ball security (14.7–15.3).

Northern Colorado COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.7–53.6), offensive efficiency (116.0–114.4), recent form (10.8–4.9).

Final

Montana State

73—68

Northern Colorado

Montana State by 5 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

23-54FG30-70

43.0%FG%43.0%

11-263PT7-21

42.0%3PT%33.0%

16-21FT1-3

76.0%FT%33.0%

28Rebounds47

5Offensive Rebounds18

8Assists14

7Turnovers12

9Steals2

3Blocks2

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davian Brown	G	32	6-11	4-6	0-0	4	2	0	0	16
Jed Miller	G	35	3-7	3-5	2-2	4	2	4	0	11
Christian King	F	26	3-15	1-7	4-6	7	2	1	1	11
Jeremiah Davis	G	23	3-7	1-5	2-2	0	0	3	1	9
Patrick McMahon	G	28	3-7	0-1	2-4	2	2	1	0	8
Jaden Steppe	F	19	3-3	2-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Chris Hodges	F	20	2-4	0-0	2-3	1	0	0	1	6
Seth Amunrud	G	17	0-0	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	0	4

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brock Wisne	F	36	9-14	0-3	0-0	7	5	1	0	18
Vincent Delano	G	31	5-11	3-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	13
Zach Bloch	G	29	4-13	4-8	0-0	2	0	0	1	12
Ring Nyeri	F	33	4-10	0-1	1-2	14	1	0	1	9
Quinn Denker	G	35	4-15	0-3	0-1	10	7	0	0	8
Egan Shields	C	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Ibu Yamazaki	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ariik Mawien	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

111.1Offensive Efficiency103.5

103.5Defensive Efficiency111.1

7.6Net Efficiency-7.6

52.8%Effective FG%47.9%

57.1%True Shooting %47.6%

10.6%Turnover Rate18.3%

38.9%Free Throw Rate4.3%

48.1%3-Point Rate30.0%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Montana State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.