Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.7%Central Connecticut

65.3%Mercyhurst

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL140.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -188

Mercyhurst

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 68

Projected Total140.5

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 73

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricMercyhurst

44.4MMH Power Index45.5

111.4Offensive Efficiency105.2

107.0Defensive Efficiency102.2

4.4Net Efficiency3.0

-7.7Strength of Schedule-5.7

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

66.3Tempo65.9

54.0%Effective FG%50.5%

15.9%Turnover Rate14.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

31.3%Free Throw Rate25.4%

2.9Average Margin2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.4–105.2), net efficiency (4.4–3.0), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.5), offensive rebounding (28.2–26.8).

Mercyhurst COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (45.5–44.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.7–-7.7).

Final

Central Connecticut

61—79

Mercyhurst

Mercyhurst by 18 • 61.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATMercyhurst

22-60FG33-60

37.0%FG%55.0%

5-223PT9-17

23.0%3PT%53.0%

12-15FT4-4

80.0%FT%100.0%

33Rebounds34

15Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists22

10Turnovers8

3Steals6

4Blocks3

11Fouls18

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	35	4-14	1-5	6-6	4	1	0	0	15
Melo Sanchez	G	30	6-13	1-5	1-1	3	0	1	1	14
Max Frazier	F	24	6-7	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	1	12
Jay Rodgers	G	33	4-13	3-7	0-2	1	8	0	0	11
Daniel James	F	21	2-5	0-1	4-4	6	0	0	0	8
Ashton Reynolds	G	22	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	1	1
Elijah Parker	G	19	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	1	0
Roddy Jones	G	11	0-5	0-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nico Ashley	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Lemelman	G	31	8-13	4-6	0-0	2	6	1	0	20
Bernie Blunt III	G	31	7-13	2-5	4-4	5	0	2	0	20
Qadir Martin	F	33	7-12	0-0	0-0	10	4	1	1	14
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	21	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	6	1	2	6
Christian Gamble	G	14	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Kaden Fuhrmann	G	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	24	2-8	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	4
James Thomas	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Sean Lang	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Cameron Johnson	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.5Possessions61.5

99.2Offensive Efficiency128.5

128.5Defensive Efficiency99.2

-29.3Net Efficiency29.3

40.8%Effective FG%62.5%

45.4%True Shooting %63.8%

16.1%Turnover Rate13.1%

25.0%Free Throw Rate6.7%

36.7%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.30Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

Mercyhurst won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 61.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.