New Haven

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.2%New Haven

53.8%Chicago State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADChicago State -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL135.2

MODEL MONEYLINEChicago State -116

Chicago State

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Haven 67

Projected Total135.2

Projected ScoreChicago State 68

Team Comparison

New HavenMetricChicago State

39.3MMH Power Index36.1

101.1Offensive Efficiency99.4

103.2Defensive Efficiency114.9

-2.1Net Efficiency-15.5

-6.8Strength of Schedule0.5

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

64.2Tempo66.2

50.4%Effective FG%45.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.8%

23.6%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

31.8%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-1.4Average Margin-10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Haven HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Haven holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.3–36.1), offensive efficiency (101.1–99.4), defensive efficiency (103.2–114.9), net efficiency (-2.1–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-6.8), ball security (15.8–17.2), offensive rebounding (29.1–23.6).

Final

New Haven

62—56

Chicago State

New Haven by 6 • 58.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New HavenTEAM STATChicago State

20-48FG23-53

42.0%FG%43.0%

8-273PT4-14

30.0%3PT%29.0%

14-14FT6-8

100.0%FT%75.0%

36Rebounds23

13Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists13

17Turnovers10

5Steals8

3Blocks1

12Fouls17

Player Box Score

New Haven

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jabri Fitzpatrick	G	37	3-7	1-4	8-8	4	1	2	0	15
Najimi George	G	35	5-11	2-5	3-3	5	3	1	1	15
Maison Adeleye	G	19	4-10	2-7	0-0	3	2	1	0	10
Stefano Faloppa	F	32	3-5	1-2	2-2	5	2	1	1	9
Teshaun Steele	G	13	1-2	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	0	3
Kyle Kearson	G	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Aidan Losiewicz	G	4	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Andre Pasha	F	33	1-5	0-2	0-0	6	3	0	1	2
Tristan Burth	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kheni Briggs	G	19	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Ray	F	39	8-18	1-4	0-2	4	2	2	0	17
Doyel Cockrill III	G	35	4-13	2-6	4-4	1	3	1	0	14
Marcus Tankersley	G	37	5-9	0-0	0-0	3	4	0	0	10
Dailliss Cox	F	26	4-6	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	0	10
Chauncey Gibson	G	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	3
Malek Robinson	G	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	3	0	2
Corey Sands	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joseph Owens	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Daniel Zatsepin	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.8Possessions58.8

105.4Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency105.4

10.2Net Efficiency-10.2

50.0%Effective FG%47.2%

56.7%True Shooting %49.3%

29.0%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.2%Free Throw Rate15.1%

56.3%3-Point Rate26.4%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

New Haven won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 58.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.