Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Northwestern State

57.7%Houston Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston Christian -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston Christian -136

Houston Christian

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 67

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 69

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricHouston Christian

41.3MMH Power Index39.5

104.0Offensive Efficiency102.5

109.0Defensive Efficiency110.3

-5.0Net Efficiency-7.8

-1.6Strength of Schedule-0.6

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

63.6Tempo65.4

49.5%Effective FG%49.9%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.0%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate37.1%

-3.2Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–39.5), offensive efficiency (104.0–102.5), defensive efficiency (109.0–110.3), net efficiency (-5.0–-7.8).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.6), shooting efficiency (49.9–49.5), offensive rebounding (30.5–27.1).

Final

Northwestern State

80—82

Houston Christian

Houston Christian by 2 • 55.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATHouston Christian

27-48FG27-45

56.0%FG%60.0%

7-193PT12-20

37.0%3PT%60.0%

19-24FT16-22

79.0%FT%73.0%

22Rebounds23

11Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists19

8Turnovers10

5Steals3

2Blocks4

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	26	5-10	1-4	6-7	2	4	2	0	17
Willie Williams	F	28	6-9	0-0	3-4	3	2	0	0	15
Justin Redmond	G	23	6-7	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	13
Chris Mubiru	G	28	4-6	2-3	1-2	3	3	1	2	11
Izzy Miles	G	25	2-6	1-3	2-4	1	2	1	0	7
Landyn Jumawan	G	15	1-4	1-4	3-3	0	0	0	0	6
Kordrick Turner	F	11	1-1	0-0	4-4	3	1	0	0	6
Omar Adegbola	G	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Chip Brunt	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
CJ Larry	PG	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Moustapha Loum	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Demari Williams	G	30	5-8	3-4	3-3	3	1	1	1	16
Kylin Green	G	28	4-8	1-3	5-7	2	10	1	0	14
Trent Johnson	F	33	4-6	4-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	12
Ryan Bartley	G	26	5-7	2-3	0-0	0	3	0	1	12
Demarco Bethea	F	28	2-3	0-0	5-8	3	1	0	0	9
Mambourou Mara	F	20	4-6	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	1	9
D'Aundre Samuels	G	28	2-5	1-4	3-4	7	3	0	1	8
Nehikhare Igiehon	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ahjany Lee	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

55.5Possessions55.5

144.1Offensive Efficiency147.7

147.7Defensive Efficiency144.1

-3.6Net Efficiency3.6

63.5%Effective FG%73.3%

67.3%True Shooting %73.9%

14.2%Turnover Rate18.4%

50.0%Free Throw Rate48.9%

39.6%3-Point Rate44.4%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Houston Christian won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 55.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.