Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.2%Auburn

31.8%Ole Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL160.6

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -214

Ole Miss

15-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 82

Projected Total160.6

Projected ScoreOle Miss 79

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricOle Miss

64.4MMH Power Index53

118.8Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.0Defensive Efficiency109.5

5.8Net Efficiency-0.3

7.5Strength of Schedule5.4

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.3

69.8Tempo69.5

53.1%Effective FG%50.6%

14.5%Turnover Rate14.0%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

43.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

4.1Average Margin-0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–53.0), offensive efficiency (118.8–109.2), net efficiency (5.8–-0.3), strength of schedule (7.5–5.4).

Ole Miss COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–113.0), ball security (14.0–14.5).

Final

Auburn

78—66

Ole Miss

Auburn by 12 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATOle Miss

22-51FG22-61

43.0%FG%36.0%

2-173PT10-28

12.0%3PT%36.0%

32-39FT12-15

82.0%FT%80.0%

43Rebounds26

13Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists12

9Turnovers6

5Steals6

4Blocks3

14Fouls23

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	35	4-10	0-2	11-12	7	2	1	1	19
Tahaad Pettiford	G	34	5-12	1-5	6-6	2	3	0	0	17
KeShawn Murphy	F	23	5-8	0-0	6-7	14	1	1	1	16
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	36	4-6	1-2	1-2	3	1	2	2	10
Elyjah Freeman	G	28	2-8	0-4	5-8	6	1	1	0	9
Filip Jovic	F	14	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Kevin Overton	G	24	0-5	0-4	2-2	4	1	0	0	2
Blake Muschalek	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Storr	G	33	6-19	1-4	5-7	5	4	1	0	18
Patton Pinkins	G	30	6-9	1-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	15
Travis Perry	G	23	5-9	5-8	0-0	2	0	0	0	15
Ilias Kamardine	G	35	3-11	2-8	0-0	1	2	0	0	8
Corey Chest	F	16	1-3	1-1	2-2	5	0	1	0	5
Malik Dia	F	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Augusto Cassiá	F	13	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Zach Day	G	6	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
James Scott	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	1	0
Eduardo Klafke	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Kezza Giffa	G	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

118.5Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency118.5

18.2Net Efficiency-18.2

45.1%Effective FG%44.3%

56.1%True Shooting %48.4%

13.7%Turnover Rate9.1%

76.5%Free Throw Rate24.6%

33.3%3-Point Rate45.9%

1.11Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Auburn won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.