Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.0%Michigan State

14.0%Oregon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -614

Oregon

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 79

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreOregon 68

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricOregon

69.8MMH Power Index48.9

117.0Offensive Efficiency106.4

101.5Defensive Efficiency110.7

15.5Net Efficiency-4.3

7.2Strength of Schedule6.0

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

67.3Tempo66.7

54.1%Effective FG%49.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.8%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

36.6%Free Throw Rate36.9%

10.5Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–48.9), offensive efficiency (117.0–106.4), defensive efficiency (101.5–110.7), net efficiency (15.5–-4.3).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.9–36.6).

Final

Michigan State

68—52

Oregon

Michigan State by 16 • 59.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATOregon

28-49FG20-51

57.0%FG%39.0%

7-203PT7-20

35.0%3PT%35.0%

5-9FT5-11

56.0%FT%45.0%

31Rebounds24

6Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists10

12Turnovers10

3Steals6

7Blocks4

10Fouls11

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Cooper	C	33	8-10	0-0	3-4	7	1	1	4	19
Coen Carr	F	27	6-9	3-5	0-3	8	3	0	2	15
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	32	5-12	2-6	2-2	0	5	2	1	14
Trey Fort	G	15	4-5	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Divine Ugochukwu	G	26	3-5	1-3	0-0	4	4	0	0	7
Jaxon Kohler	F	20	1-3	0-2	0-0	5	2	0	0	2
Cam Ward	F	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Jordan Scott	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kur Teng	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jesse McCulloch	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Denham Wojcik	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Colin Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brennan Walton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Takai Simpkins	G	33	5-10	2-4	3-5	7	0	1	1	15
Wei Lin	G	23	2-5	2-5	1-2	0	1	1	0	7
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	27	3-13	0-3	0-2	4	1	1	2	6
Sean Stewart	F	27	2-5	0-0	1-2	2	2	2	1	5
Dezdrick Lindsay	F	25	2-6	1-2	0-0	2	4	0	0	5
Ege Demir	C	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Drew Carter	G	20	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Oleksandr Kobzystyi	F	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Devon Pryor	F	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Luke Johnson	F	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

59.3Possessions59.3

114.7Offensive Efficiency87.7

87.7Defensive Efficiency114.7

27.0Net Efficiency-27.0

64.3%Effective FG%46.1%

63.8%True Shooting %46.2%

20.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

18.4%Free Throw Rate21.6%

40.8%3-Point Rate39.2%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 59.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.