UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.9%UCF

93.1%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -17.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -1349

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 69

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreIowa State 87

Team Comparison

UCFMetricIowa State

57.1MMH Power Index75.9

113.3Offensive Efficiency119.3

110.0Defensive Efficiency96.0

3.3Net Efficiency23.3

6.6Strength of Schedule4.9

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

71.2Tempo68.4

53.0%Effective FG%56.1%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.0%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

31.1%Free Throw Rate35.2%

2.4Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–57.1), offensive efficiency (119.3–113.3), defensive efficiency (96.0–110.0), net efficiency (23.3–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–4.9).

Final

UCF

57—87

Iowa State

Iowa State by 30 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATIowa State

21-57FG33-65

37.0%FG%51.0%

10-323PT9-25

31.0%3PT%36.0%

5-6FT12-21

83.0%FT%57.0%

32Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists22

19Turnovers5

1Steals13

6Blocks3

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Burks	F	33	5-9	3-6	2-2	7	1	1	1	15
Riley Kugel	G	31	6-15	3-8	0-0	3	3	0	0	15
Themus Fulks	G	30	4-8	0-2	0-0	0	5	0	0	8
Devan Cambridge	F	27	3-4	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	3	8
Carmelo Pacheco	G	20	2-6	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
John Bol	C	12	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	1	4
Kris Parker	G	10	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	1	1
Chris Johnson	G	12	0-7	0-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
George Beale Jr.	G	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jeremy Foumena	C	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Zach Johnson	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Elijah Hulsewe	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	33	7-12	4-8	2-2	2	0	0	2	20
Joshua Jefferson	F	34	6-11	1-3	4-7	10	12	4	1	17
Killyan Toure	G	31	5-9	2-4	0-2	5	2	1	0	12
Jamarion Batemon	G	18	5-11	1-5	1-1	1	0	1	0	12
Blake Buchanan	F	19	4-6	0-0	3-5	6	0	1	0	11
Dominykas Pleta	F	12	3-4	0-0	2-4	1	1	0	0	8
Tamin Lipsey	G	30	2-9	1-4	0-0	5	6	5	0	5
Nate Heise	G	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Cade Kelderman	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Eric Mulder	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Anthony Rise	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

87.0Offensive Efficiency132.8

132.8Defensive Efficiency87.0

-45.8Net Efficiency45.8

45.6%Effective FG%57.7%

47.6%True Shooting %58.0%

28.9%Turnover Rate7.7%

10.5%Free Throw Rate32.3%

56.1%3-Point Rate38.5%

0.68Assist / Turnover4.40

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.