Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Purdue

34.8%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -187

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 77

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreUCLA 75

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricUCLA

73.2MMH Power Index63

124.8Offensive Efficiency115.9

107.8Defensive Efficiency106.9

17.0Net Efficiency9.0

7.6Strength of Schedule5.1

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

65.4Tempo66.5

57.8%Effective FG%53.5%

13.7%Turnover Rate13.4%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

29.1%Free Throw Rate33.8%

11.1Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–63.0), offensive efficiency (124.8–115.9), net efficiency (17.0–9.0), strength of schedule (7.6–5.1).

UCLA COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–107.8), ball security (13.4–13.7), free throw rate (33.8–29.1).

Final

Purdue

67—69

UCLA

UCLA by 2 • 58.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATUCLA

27-60FG29-51

45.0%FG%57.0%

7-273PT9-20

26.0%3PT%45.0%

6-7FT2-3

86.0%FT%67.0%

30Rebounds24

13Offensive Rebounds4

17Assists21

8Turnovers10

7Steals3

1Blocks8

8Fouls10

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
C.J. Cox	G	30	6-11	2-6	2-2	5	4	2	0	16
Braden Smith	G	37	5-13	2-5	0-0	3	4	2	0	12
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	26	4-6	0-2	2-2	7	5	0	0	10
Gicarri Harris	G	14	2-5	1-4	2-2	0	2	2	1	7
Oscar Cluff	C	24	3-5	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	6
Fletcher Loyer	G	27	2-10	1-6	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Daniel Jacobsen	C	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Jack Benter	G	14	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Omer Mayer	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	39	10-18	1-3	2-2	0	13	1	3	23
Tyler Bilodeau	F	34	5-9	4-8	0-0	4	3	0	1	14
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	34	6-11	0-1	0-1	7	3	1	0	12
Trent Perry	G	38	4-7	3-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	11
Xavier Booker	F	35	4-5	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	3	9
Eric Freeny	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Steven Jamerson II	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Brandon Williams	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jamar Brown	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.4Possessions58.4

114.7Offensive Efficiency118.2

118.2Defensive Efficiency114.7

-3.4Net Efficiency3.4

50.8%Effective FG%65.7%

52.9%True Shooting %65.8%

13.7%Turnover Rate17.1%

11.7%Free Throw Rate5.9%

45.0%3-Point Rate39.2%

2.13Assist / Turnover2.10

Game Summary

UCLA won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 58.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.