Texas

21-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.7%Texas

68.3%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.6

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -215

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas 77

Projected Total160.6

Projected ScoreKentucky 83

Team Comparison

TexasMetricKentucky

61.6MMH Power Index63.9

119.6Offensive Efficiency115.2

110.1Defensive Efficiency106.3

9.5Net Efficiency8.9

5.3Strength of Schedule8.7

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

69.2Tempo69.9

55.1%Effective FG%53.2%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.4%

35.9%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

44.3%Free Throw Rate38.0%

6.6Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (119.6–115.2), net efficiency (9.5–8.9), shooting efficiency (55.1–53.2), offensive rebounding (35.9–33.2).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (63.9–61.6), defensive efficiency (106.3–110.1), strength of schedule (8.7–5.3).

Final

Texas

80—85

Kentucky

Kentucky by 5 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TexasTEAM STATKentucky

30-64FG25-58

47.0%FG%43.0%

2-183PT5-18

11.0%3PT%28.0%

18-20FT30-35

90.0%FT%86.0%

34Rebounds36

13Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists12

8Turnovers8

6Steals8

1Blocks7

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

Texas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailyn Swain	G	36	10-16	2-6	7-7	6	3	2	0	29
Matas Vokietaitis	C	31	5-14	0-0	5-6	11	1	0	1	15
Chendall Weaver	G	29	6-9	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	14
Tramon Mark	G	26	6-11	0-2	0-0	4	2	2	0	12
Jordan Pope	G	32	2-9	0-6	4-5	3	0	1	0	8
Simeon Wilcher	G	26	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Lassina Traore	F	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Camden Heide	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Denzel Aberdeen	G	32	4-10	2-5	9-12	1	1	1	0	19
Otega Oweh	G	36	8-20	0-4	2-2	3	0	1	0	18
Collin Chandler	G	32	5-9	2-4	6-6	7	1	2	0	18
Kam Williams	G	16	2-3	1-2	4-4	1	1	0	0	9
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	16	2-3	0-0	5-6	6	1	1	0	9
Malachi Moreno	C	26	2-6	0-1	4-5	4	6	0	5	8
Andrija Jelavic	F	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	2	0	4
Brandon Garrison	F	14	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	2	0
Jasper Johnson	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Trent Noah	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

115.8Offensive Efficiency123.0

123.0Defensive Efficiency115.8

-7.2Net Efficiency7.2

48.4%Effective FG%47.4%

54.4%True Shooting %57.0%

11.7%Turnover Rate11.5%

31.3%Free Throw Rate60.3%

28.1%3-Point Rate31.0%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.