Notre Dame

13-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.7%Notre Dame

90.3%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -931

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 69

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 84

Team Comparison

Notre DameMetricNorth Carolina

49.7MMH Power Index65.2

110.3Offensive Efficiency115.5

111.2Defensive Efficiency103.8

-0.9Net Efficiency11.7

4.7Strength of Schedule7.6

-11.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

68.0Tempo69.0

53.0%Effective FG%54.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

34.7%Free Throw Rate38.1%

-0.6Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–49.7), offensive efficiency (115.5–110.3), defensive efficiency (103.8–111.2), net efficiency (11.7–-0.9).

Notre Dame COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.4–31.1).

Final

Notre Dame

69—91

North Carolina

North Carolina by 22 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Notre DameTEAM STATNorth Carolina

27-75FG31-61

36.0%FG%51.0%

8-253PT13-34

32.0%3PT%38.0%

7-13FT16-23

54.0%FT%70.0%

39Rebounds44

18Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists18

5Turnovers8

5Steals3

—Blocks5

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Sir Mohammed	G	19	6-11	1-3	1-1	4	1	0	14
Jalen Haralson	F	19	6-16	0-1	1-2	6	1	0	13
Ryder Frost	F	14	3-4	3-4	1-2	3	0	0	10
Cole Certa	G	24	2-9	1-5	4-4	2	0	0	9
Carson Towt	F	18	3-11	0-0	0-1	6	1	0	6
Garrett Sundra	F	15	2-2	2-2	0-0	5	0	1	6
Logan Imes	G	22	2-8	0-4	0-0	2	4	3	4
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	27	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	5	0	3
Brady Koehler	F	23	1-5	0-1	0-3	3	0	1	2
Matthew MacLellan	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2
Mark Zackery IV	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Brady Stevens	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Wilson	F	30	8-11	1-3	5-8	7	5	1	1	22
Henri Veesaar	C	29	6-10	1-3	2-5	12	1	0	2	15
Derek Dixon	G	27	4-6	3-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	11
Luka Bogavac	G	24	2-9	1-6	4-4	4	3	0	0	9
Kyan Evans	G	10	3-5	3-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	9
Jarin Stevenson	F	16	2-3	2-2	2-2	5	1	1	1	8
Seth Trimble	G	20	2-4	0-1	1-2	3	1	0	1	5
Jonathan Powell	G	20	2-5	1-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	5
Jaydon Young	G	14	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Zayden High	F	4	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Evan Smith	G	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Denis	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
John Holbrook	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Elijah Davis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

99.9Offensive Efficiency131.7

131.7Defensive Efficiency99.9

-31.8Net Efficiency31.8

41.3%Effective FG%61.5%

42.5%True Shooting %63.3%

7.3%Turnover Rate11.4%

17.3%Free Throw Rate37.7%

33.3%3-Point Rate55.7%

2.60Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.