Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

87.7%Wisconsin

12.3%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL159.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -713

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 85

Projected Total159.5

Projected ScorePenn State 74

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricPenn State

64.5MMH Power Index42.3

118.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

108.8Defensive Efficiency117.6

9.8Net Efficiency-8.4

6.7Strength of Schedule5.3

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

69.9Tempo67.5

54.6%Effective FG%53.4%

12.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

32.5%Free Throw Rate34.6%

6.9Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–42.3), offensive efficiency (118.6–109.2), defensive efficiency (108.8–117.6), net efficiency (9.8–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.6–32.5).

Final

Wisconsin

98—71

Penn State

Wisconsin by 27 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATPenn State

36-71FG23-64

51.0%FG%36.0%

15-353PT8-27

43.0%3PT%30.0%

11-15FT17-23

73.0%FT%74.0%

44Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds11

25Assists11

7Turnovers7

5Steals4

4Blocks—

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Blackwell	G	27	5-10	3-7	4-4	3	5	0	0	17
Braeden Carrington	G	16	5-7	4-6	3-3	4	0	0	0	17
Nolan Winter	F	24	6-10	0-1	1-2	10	3	1	2	13
Nick Boyd	G	21	5-13	1-5	0-0	5	1	0	0	11
Austin Rapp	F	17	4-6	1-2	1-1	3	4	0	0	10
Andrew Rohde	G	22	3-7	2-6	1-1	2	6	2	0	9
Zach Kinziger	G	9	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	19	2-6	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	4
Jack Robison	F	3	1-1	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Jack Janicki	G	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	3	2	1	3
Will Garlock	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	0	2
Hayden Jones	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Isaac Gard	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Riccardo Greppi	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Josh Reed	F	32	5-7	3-3	5-6	6	1	1	18
Freddie Dilione V	G	27	6-17	3-10	2-2	4	2	1	17
Mason Blackwood	F	22	4-7	2-5	4-4	6	0	1	14
Kayden Mingo	G	35	3-14	0-3	0-0	2	5	0	6
Dominick Stewart	G	21	2-4	0-2	2-2	1	2	0	6
Ivan Juric	F	30	2-8	0-1	1-3	12	1	0	5
Eli Rice	G	12	0-2	0-1	3-6	0	0	1	3
Melih Tunca	G	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	2
Saša Ciani	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Justin Houser	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

138.0Offensive Efficiency100.0

100.0Defensive Efficiency138.0

38.0Net Efficiency-38.0

61.3%Effective FG%42.2%

62.7%True Shooting %47.4%

9.8%Turnover Rate9.9%

21.1%Free Throw Rate35.9%

49.3%3-Point Rate42.2%

3.57Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.