Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%Illinois

53.5%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -115

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 77

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScorePurdue 78

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricPurdue

76.5MMH Power Index73.2

125.0Offensive Efficiency124.8

103.3Defensive Efficiency107.8

21.7Net Efficiency17.0

6.7Strength of Schedule7.6

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

66.5Tempo65.4

54.8%Effective FG%57.8%

13.1%Turnover Rate13.7%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

33.8%Free Throw Rate29.1%

14.5Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–73.2), offensive efficiency (125.0–124.8), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.8), net efficiency (21.7–17.0).

Purdue COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–6.7), shooting efficiency (57.8–54.8).

Final

Illinois

88—82

Purdue

Illinois by 6 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATPurdue

27-56FG33-58

48.0%FG%57.0%

18-383PT7-19

47.0%3PT%37.0%

16-22FT9-11

73.0%FT%82.0%

33Rebounds19

13Offensive Rebounds3

10Assists19

10Turnovers3

—Steals2

2Blocks1

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Keaton Wagler	G	39	13-17	9-11	11-13	0	4	0	46
David Mirkovic	F	28	4-7	2-4	2-2	8	2	0	12
Jake Davis	F	30	3-8	2-7	0-0	3	2	0	8
Tomislav Ivisic	C	24	2-5	2-5	1-2	8	0	0	7
Ben Humrichous	F	20	2-4	2-4	0-0	4	0	0	6
Andrej Stojakovic	G	37	2-9	0-3	1-2	7	1	0	5
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	20	1-4	1-4	1-3	2	1	2	4
Mihailo Petrovic	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Brandon Lee	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Smith	G	37	11-16	2-3	3-4	3	12	1	0	27
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	26	6-8	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	12
Omer Mayer	G	21	4-8	3-6	0-0	2	2	0	0	11
Oscar Cluff	C	29	4-5	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	0	9
C.J. Cox	G	27	3-7	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Fletcher Loyer	G	20	1-5	1-3	3-3	3	0	0	0	6
Jack Benter	G	15	1-4	1-4	2-2	0	0	0	1	5
Daniel Jacobsen	C	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Gicarri Harris	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

138.8Offensive Efficiency129.3

129.3Defensive Efficiency138.8

9.5Net Efficiency-9.5

64.3%Effective FG%62.9%

66.2%True Shooting %64.8%

15.8%Turnover Rate4.7%

39.3%Free Throw Rate19.0%

67.9%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover6.33

Game Summary

Illinois won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.