St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.9%St. John's

14.1%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -11.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -609

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 84

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreXavier 73

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricXavier

70.3MMH Power Index49.5

114.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

97.6Defensive Efficiency112.4

16.8Net Efficiency-3.2

5.5Strength of Schedule5.6

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

70.9Tempo71.7

51.3%Effective FG%51.7%

14.3%Turnover Rate13.9%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

41.1%Free Throw Rate28.9%

11.9Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–49.5), offensive efficiency (114.4–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–112.4), net efficiency (16.8–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.5), shooting efficiency (51.7–51.3), ball security (13.9–14.3).

Final

St. John's

88—83

Xavier

St. John's by 5 • 76.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATXavier

33-68FG29-61

49.0%FG%48.0%

7-183PT9-21

39.0%3PT%43.0%

15-23FT16-19

65.0%FT%84.0%

39Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds5

17Assists20

10Turnovers12

8Steals7

3Blocks8

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Hopkins	F	37	7-17	1-3	3-5	8	1	1	0	18
Dillon Mitchell	F	38	7-8	0-0	3-4	7	6	4	0	17
Ian Jackson	G	26	6-11	3-5	1-2	4	2	0	0	16
Zuby Ejiofor	F	31	4-11	0-0	5-9	11	4	3	2	13
Dylan Darling	G	17	4-8	3-5	0-0	3	3	0	0	11
Oziyah Sellers	G	24	2-5	0-3	3-3	1	1	0	1	7
Joson Sanon	G	13	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ruben Prey	F	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kelvin Odih	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Carroll	F	35	12-22	3-5	4-6	3	2	1	4	31
Malik Messina-Moore	G	36	6-12	4-8	2-3	4	5	1	0	18
Jovan Milicevic	F	31	5-8	1-3	3-3	3	0	2	1	14
Filip Borovicanin	F	32	3-13	0-3	3-3	10	6	2	0	9
All Wright	G	18	0-0	0-0	4-4	3	3	0	0	4
Roddie Anderson III	G	17	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Isaiah Walker	G	18	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	3	1	0	3
Anthony Robinson	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	3	0
Pape N'Diaye	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.5Possessions76.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency115.0

6.5Net Efficiency-6.5

53.7%Effective FG%54.9%

55.7%True Shooting %59.3%

13.2%Turnover Rate15.6%

33.8%Free Throw Rate31.1%

26.5%3-Point Rate34.4%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

St. John's won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 76.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.