Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.9%Wake Forest

96.1%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -21.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2464

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 66

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreDuke 87

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricDuke

57.6MMH Power Index81.7

112.4Offensive Efficiency122.2

109.7Defensive Efficiency95.2

2.7Net Efficiency27.0

7.2Strength of Schedule7.8

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

70.2Tempo66.8

52.8%Effective FG%56.9%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.9%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

36.1%Free Throw Rate39.0%

1.9Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–57.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–112.4), defensive efficiency (95.2–109.7), net efficiency (27.0–2.7).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHball security (15.5–15.9).

Final

Wake Forest

69—90

Duke

Duke by 21 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATDuke

22-54FG31-62

41.0%FG%50.0%

14-323PT7-25

44.0%3PT%28.0%

11-13FT21-24

85.0%FT%88.0%

22Rebounds43

6Offensive Rebounds16

17Assists16

9Turnovers9

7Steals8

3Blocks1

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Juke Harris	G	38	6-12	5-9	6-7	2	2	2	1	23
Cooper Schwieger	F	24	5-7	1-3	1-2	2	0	1	1	12
Omaha Biliew	F	23	3-7	3-5	2-2	2	1	0	0	11
Tre'Von Spillers	F	33	4-8	2-3	0-0	3	2	1	0	10
Myles Colvin	G	26	1-4	1-3	2-2	3	2	1	1	5
Mekhi Mason	G	13	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jaylen Cross	F	3	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Nate Calmese	G	23	1-7	0-4	0-0	1	5	2	0	2
Sebastian Akins	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Isaac Carr	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	33	11-20	3-8	7-7	9	4	3	0	32
Patrick Ngongba II	C	15	5-9	0-0	3-5	7	2	0	0	13
Isaiah Evans	G	29	4-11	1-6	2-2	2	0	2	0	11
Caleb Foster	G	23	4-6	0-1	0-0	3	3	0	0	8
Cayden Boozer	G	19	1-3	0-1	6-6	3	0	1	0	8
Maliq Brown	F	25	2-2	1-1	0-0	8	5	1	1	5
Nikolas Khamenia	G	24	2-4	1-3	0-0	5	1	1	0	5
Dame Sarr	G	17	1-3	0-2	3-4	4	0	0	0	5
Darren Harris	G	11	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Jack Scott	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Sheffield	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

106.5Offensive Efficiency138.9

138.9Defensive Efficiency106.5

-32.4Net Efficiency32.4

53.7%Effective FG%55.6%

57.3%True Shooting %61.3%

14.2%Turnover Rate13.6%

24.1%Free Throw Rate38.7%

59.3%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.89Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Duke won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.