Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Villanova

84.7%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL146.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -554

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 67

Projected Total146.1

Projected ScoreUConn 79

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricUConn

59.4MMH Power Index70.2

114.7Offensive Efficiency116.3

105.9Defensive Efficiency98.4

8.8Net Efficiency17.9

4.4Strength of Schedule6.3

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

67.3Tempo66.2

53.9%Effective FG%55.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

31.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

5.9Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–59.4), offensive efficiency (116.3–114.7), defensive efficiency (98.4–105.9), net efficiency (17.9–8.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–16.4), free throw rate (31.4–30.7).

Final

Villanova

67—75

UConn

UConn by 8 • 64.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATUConn

20-59FG25-61

34.0%FG%41.0%

10-263PT8-22

38.0%3PT%36.0%

17-22FT17-22

77.0%FT%77.0%

39Rebounds42

16Offensive Rebounds16

14Assists17

11Turnovers9

4Steals5

2Blocks1

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duke Brennan	F	40	4-6	0-0	8-9	14	0	0	1	16
Tyler Perkins	G	39	6-16	2-5	2-4	10	2	0	0	16
Devin Askew	G	27	4-9	3-4	2-2	4	3	1	1	13
Matt Hodge	F	30	4-6	4-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	12
Acaden Lewis	G	27	1-13	0-4	2-2	2	5	1	0	4
Bryce Lindsay	G	40	0-8	0-6	3-5	1	2	2	0	3
Malachi Palmer	G	17	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Braden Pierce	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Solo Ball	G	38	7-17	5-12	5-5	5	3	0	0	24
Alex Karaban	F	40	4-10	1-3	8-9	8	0	0	0	17
Silas Demary Jr.	G	39	4-11	0-1	2-2	4	7	3	0	10
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	31	4-7	0-0	2-3	11	4	1	0	10
Braylon Mullins	G	18	3-6	2-5	0-0	0	0	1	0	8
Eric Reibe	C	14	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Jaylin Stewart	F	20	1-4	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	0	2
Jayden Ross	F	19	0-1	0-1	0-2	2	1	0	1	0
Malachi Smith	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.5Possessions64.5

103.9Offensive Efficiency116.3

116.3Defensive Efficiency103.9

-12.4Net Efficiency12.4

42.4%Effective FG%47.5%

48.2%True Shooting %52.5%

17.1%Turnover Rate14.0%

37.3%Free Throw Rate36.1%

44.1%3-Point Rate36.1%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

UConn won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.