Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.5%Northwestern

79.5%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -388

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 69

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreUCLA 79

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricUCLA

55.4MMH Power Index63

111.6Offensive Efficiency115.9

109.8Defensive Efficiency106.9

1.8Net Efficiency9.0

5.6Strength of Schedule5.1

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

65.6Tempo66.5

51.9%Effective FG%53.5%

13.0%Turnover Rate13.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

34.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.2Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCLA HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCLA holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.0–55.4), offensive efficiency (115.9–111.6), defensive efficiency (106.9–109.8), net efficiency (9.0–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.1), ball security (13.0–13.4), free throw rate (34.8–33.8).

Final

Northwestern

64—71

UCLA

UCLA by 7 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATUCLA

20-53FG26-53

38.0%FG%49.0%

7-233PT8-18

30.0%3PT%44.0%

17-20FT11-21

85.0%FT%52.0%

32Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists11

9Turnovers10

3Steals7

3Blocks1

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	37	8-19	0-4	4-4	8	2	0	0	20
Tre Singleton	F	32	2-8	1-4	7-8	6	1	1	0	12
Max Green	G	30	3-5	3-5	0-0	6	2	0	0	9
Jordan Clayton	G	24	3-5	3-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
Jake West	G	29	2-7	0-2	2-2	1	3	1	0	6
Arrinten Page	F	13	1-3	0-1	1-2	0	2	0	1	3
Tyler Kropp	F	16	0-1	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	1	2
Angelo Ciaravino	G	12	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Jayden Reid	G	6	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
Justin Mullins	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent Perry	G	35	6-12	0-4	6-7	2	4	1	0	18
Tyler Bilodeau	F	31	7-11	4-8	0-0	4	1	0	0	18
Donovan Dent	G	33	5-10	1-1	2-7	4	5	2	0	13
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	30	4-10	1-3	2-4	8	1	0	0	11
Jamar Brown	G	17	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Xavier Booker	F	24	2-6	0-0	1-3	8	0	0	1	5
Steven Jamerson II	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Eric Freeny	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Brandon Williams	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

99.5Offensive Efficiency110.4

110.4Defensive Efficiency99.5

-10.9Net Efficiency10.9

44.3%Effective FG%56.6%

51.2%True Shooting %56.4%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.4%

37.7%Free Throw Rate39.6%

43.4%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.44Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

UCLA won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.