San Francisco

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.1%San Francisco

96.9%Gonzaga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -23.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -3126

Gonzaga

31-4

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 64

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreGonzaga 87

Team Comparison

San FranciscoMetricGonzaga

50.1MMH Power Index76.4

110.4Offensive Efficiency119.7

108.2Defensive Efficiency94.0

2.2Net Efficiency25.7

1.4Strength of Schedule3.0

-8.7Last 10 Net Efficiency18.2

67.6Tempo70.4

51.9%Effective FG%55.7%

16.1%Turnover Rate13.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

40.5%Free Throw Rate31.5%

1.5Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–50.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.4), defensive efficiency (94.0–108.2), net efficiency (25.7–2.2).

San Francisco COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (40.5–31.5).

Final

San Francisco

66—68

Gonzaga

Gonzaga by 2 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San FranciscoTEAM STATGonzaga

22-55FG27-61

40.0%FG%44.0%

14-283PT3-18

50.0%3PT%17.0%

8-13FT11-22

62.0%FT%50.0%

41Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists10

15Turnovers7

4Steals11

1Blocks2

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Legend Smiley	G	33	5-8	5-6	3-3	2	0	1	0	18
Ryan Beasley	G	35	5-11	4-7	0-0	4	6	0	0	14
Vukasin Masic	G	25	4-9	2-5	1-2	4	2	2	0	11
Tyrone Riley IV	G	31	3-9	1-2	0-0	10	1	0	0	7
Junjie Wang	F	22	2-6	1-4	2-2	2	0	0	0	7
Veniamin Abosi	G	19	2-4	1-2	1-2	6	1	0	0	6
Mookie Cook	F	14	1-4	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	0	3
Guillermo Diaz Graham	F	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	0
David Fuchs	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	1	0

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Warley	G	38	7-10	0-0	5-7	4	2	1	0	19
Davis Fogle	G	32	6-15	1-6	2-4	9	1	2	0	15
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	26	6-12	1-3	2-8	3	0	2	2	15
Braeden Smith	G	23	4-8	1-3	0-1	3	4	0	0	9
Mario Saint-Supery	G	20	2-6	0-2	2-2	3	2	2	0	6
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	24	2-5	0-1	0-0	5	0	3	0	4
Adam Miller	G	21	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Ismaila Diagne	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Steele Venters	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

97.2Offensive Efficiency100.1

100.1Defensive Efficiency97.2

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

52.7%Effective FG%46.7%

53.9%True Shooting %47.6%

22.3%Turnover Rate10.2%

23.6%Free Throw Rate36.1%

50.9%3-Point Rate29.5%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.