LSU

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.1%LSU

89.9%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -14.2

PROJECTED TOTAL171.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -890

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLSU 79

Projected Total171.3

Projected ScoreArkansas 93

Team Comparison

LSUMetricArkansas

54.2MMH Power Index69.3

115.5Offensive Efficiency122.2

111.3Defensive Efficiency109.8

4.2Net Efficiency12.4

4.5Strength of Schedule8.6

-12.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.5Tempo73.8

53.4%Effective FG%56.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate12.2%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

41.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

2.9Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–54.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.5), defensive efficiency (109.8–111.3), net efficiency (12.4–4.2).

LSU COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–31.8), free throw rate (41.9–36.5).

Final

LSU

81—85

Arkansas

Arkansas by 4 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LSUTEAM STATArkansas

28-61FG34-60

46.0%FG%57.0%

3-153PT10-22

20.0%3PT%45.0%

22-25FT7-18

88.0%FT%39.0%

36Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists18

9Turnovers8

5Steals7

—Blocks3

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	31	7-20	1-3	3-3	3	5	0	18
Max Mackinnon	G	35	4-12	1-7	5-6	3	3	0	14
Mike Nwoko	F	27	5-9	0-0	4-5	5	0	2	14
Pablo Tamba	F	37	4-4	1-1	3-4	10	2	1	12
Marquel Sutton	F	29	2-6	0-2	7-7	5	2	1	11
Jalen Reece	G	15	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	4
Rashad King	G	14	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	4
Robert Miller III	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	4

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Acuff Jr.	G	35	13-19	4-7	1-4	2	6	0	2	31
Meleek Thomas	G	26	6-9	2-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	14
Billy Richmond III	G	28	4-7	0-1	3-4	2	3	0	0	11
Trevon Brazile	F	28	3-6	1-2	0-1	7	1	3	0	7
D.J. Wagner	G	19	2-4	2-4	1-2	0	2	1	0	7
Malique Ewin	F	17	2-7	0-1	2-4	5	1	1	1	6
Karter Knox	G	24	2-5	1-4	0-2	5	2	0	0	5
Nick Pringle	F	23	2-3	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

117.7Offensive Efficiency123.5

123.5Defensive Efficiency117.7

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

48.4%Effective FG%65.0%

55.6%True Shooting %62.0%

13.1%Turnover Rate11.7%

41.0%Free Throw Rate30.0%

24.6%3-Point Rate36.7%

1.56Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.