USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.0%USC

91.0%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -14.5

PROJECTED TOTAL161.7

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -1011

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 74

Projected Total161.7

Projected ScoreWisconsin 88

Team Comparison

USCMetricWisconsin

48.3MMH Power Index64.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency118.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency108.8

0.9Net Efficiency9.8

2.5Strength of Schedule6.7

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

72.4Tempo69.9

50.7%Effective FG%54.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate12.8%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

45.3%Free Throw Rate32.5%

0.7Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–48.3), offensive efficiency (118.6–108.5), net efficiency (9.8–0.9), strength of schedule (6.7–2.5).

USC COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.6–108.8), offensive rebounding (33.2–28.7), free throw rate (45.3–32.5).

Final

USC

73—71

Wisconsin

USC by 2 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATWisconsin

25-61FG23-67

41.0%FG%34.0%

6-243PT9-37

25.0%3PT%24.0%

17-23FT16-20

74.0%FT%80.0%

41Rebounds42

13Offensive Rebounds18

9Assists10

5Turnovers6

3Steals3

4Blocks3

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	38	10-22	5-11	4-4	4	3	1	0	29
Ezra Ausar	F	38	5-8	0-1	7-8	7	0	0	2	17
Jacob Cofie	F	36	4-11	1-4	0-0	11	5	0	1	9
Alijah Arenas	G	18	3-12	0-3	1-3	5	0	1	1	7
Kam Woods	G	34	2-5	0-3	1-4	5	0	0	0	5
Jerry Easter II	G	12	0-1	0-1	4-4	4	0	1	0	4
Jaden Brownell	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ryan Cornish	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Gabe Dynes	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Boyd	G	38	10-17	1-5	8-9	6	3	1	0	29
Nolan Winter	F	38	5-13	2-6	0-0	6	1	0	2	12
John Blackwell	G	36	3-13	1-7	4-4	9	2	0	0	11
Andrew Rohde	G	31	2-10	2-7	0-0	3	4	0	0	6
Braeden Carrington	G	17	1-5	1-5	3-5	3	0	0	1	6
Austin Rapp	F	14	2-7	2-6	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	18	0-2	0-1	1-2	6	0	1	0	1
Jack Janicki	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Will Garlock	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

113.7Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency113.7

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

45.9%Effective FG%41.0%

50.7%True Shooting %46.4%

7.8%Turnover Rate9.3%

37.7%Free Throw Rate29.9%

39.3%3-Point Rate55.2%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

USC won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.