Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.6%Louisville

89.4%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -13.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -843

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 70

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricDuke

67.1MMH Power Index81.7

118.6Offensive Efficiency122.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

16.4Net Efficiency27.0

6.0Strength of Schedule7.8

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

71.0Tempo66.8

56.9%Effective FG%56.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.9%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

34.1%Free Throw Rate39.0%

11.7Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–67.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.6), defensive efficiency (95.2–102.2), net efficiency (27.0–16.4).

Final

Louisville

52—83

Duke

Duke by 31 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATDuke

16-54FG31-61

30.0%FG%51.0%

11-343PT8-23

32.0%3PT%35.0%

9-13FT13-18

69.0%FT%72.0%

26Rebounds47

9Offensive Rebounds15

11Assists14

12Turnovers12

6Steals7

3Blocks1

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	37	7-14	4-9	0-0	3	3	2	0	18
J'Vonne Hadley	G	29	3-10	2-6	3-5	5	0	1	0	11
Mikel Brown Jr.	G	34	1-13	1-7	4-6	2	4	0	0	7
Isaac McKneely	G	29	2-6	2-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Sananda Fru	F	24	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	2	1	2	4
Adrian Wooley	G	23	1-5	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Aly Khalifa	C	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Vangelis Zougris	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Kobe Rodgers	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	31	8-16	1-4	2-4	10	4	0	0	19
Isaiah Evans	G	26	5-11	2-8	3-3	4	0	0	0	15
Patrick Ngongba II	C	24	5-8	0-1	5-5	5	2	2	1	15
Nikolas Khamenia	G	15	5-6	3-4	1-1	2	0	1	0	14
Caleb Foster	G	31	2-6	2-3	1-4	4	2	0	0	7
Cayden Boozer	G	20	3-5	0-0	1-1	4	2	1	0	7
Maliq Brown	F	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	2	2	0	4
Dame Sarr	G	27	1-3	0-2	0-0	5	2	0	0	2
Darren Harris	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jack Scott	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cameron Sheffield	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

80.1Offensive Efficiency127.9

127.9Defensive Efficiency80.1

-47.8Net Efficiency47.8

39.8%Effective FG%57.4%

43.2%True Shooting %59.7%

19.0%Turnover Rate18.0%

24.1%Free Throw Rate29.5%

63.0%3-Point Rate37.7%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Duke won by 31 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.