Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

89.6%Michigan State

10.4%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -13.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -862

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 80

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreRutgers 67

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricRutgers

69.8MMH Power Index45.9

117.0Offensive Efficiency104.2

101.5Defensive Efficiency112.2

15.5Net Efficiency-8.0

7.2Strength of Schedule3.9

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

67.3Tempo67.4

54.1%Effective FG%47.4%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.0%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

36.6%Free Throw Rate36.3%

10.5Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–45.9), offensive efficiency (117.0–104.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–112.2), net efficiency (15.5–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

88—79

Rutgers

Michigan State by 9 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATRutgers

28-57FG25-62

49.0%FG%40.0%

8-223PT10-27

36.0%3PT%37.0%

24-26FT19-23

92.0%FT%83.0%

45Rebounds22

13Offensive Rebounds6

18Assists11

15Turnovers5

1Steals8

4Blocks2

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	36	6-12	1-4	16-17	4	9	0	0	29
Coen Carr	F	35	5-7	2-3	1-2	8	1	0	1	13
Carson Cooper	C	37	5-10	0-0	2-2	14	2	0	2	12
Jaxon Kohler	F	29	4-10	1-6	3-3	4	0	0	0	12
Divine Ugochukwu	G	29	3-4	3-4	0-0	6	6	0	1	9
Jordan Scott	F	26	2-6	1-3	2-2	4	0	1	0	7
Kur Teng	G	17	2-6	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Denham Wojcik	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cam Ward	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Trey Fort	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	34	6-17	3-8	8-8	2	1	3	1	23
Harun Zrno	G	32	6-10	4-8	0-0	4	1	0	0	16
Jamichael Davis	G	40	4-8	1-1	6-8	2	5	1	0	15
Darren Buchanan Jr.	G	36	5-11	1-4	3-5	1	1	2	0	14
Dylan Grant	F	34	4-7	1-2	2-2	4	0	2	1	11
Bryce Dortch	F	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kaden Powers	G	10	0-5	0-4	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Lino Mark	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Chris Nwuli	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

122.7Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency122.7

12.6Net Efficiency-12.6

56.1%Effective FG%48.4%

63.4%True Shooting %54.2%

21.0%Turnover Rate7.0%

45.6%Free Throw Rate37.1%

38.6%3-Point Rate43.5%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.20

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.