Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.2%Providence

90.8%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -15.9

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -987

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 71

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreUConn 87

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricUConn

54.2MMH Power Index70.2

115.0Offensive Efficiency116.3

113.2Defensive Efficiency98.4

1.8Net Efficiency17.9

4.0Strength of Schedule6.3

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

74.2Tempo66.2

55.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

37.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

1.3Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–54.2), offensive efficiency (116.3–115.0), defensive efficiency (98.4–113.2), net efficiency (17.9–1.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (37.3–30.7).

Final

Providence

81—87

UConn

UConn by 6 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATUConn

26-54FG29-65

48.0%FG%45.0%

5-143PT11-24

36.0%3PT%46.0%

24-31FT18-28

77.0%FT%64.0%

35Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists23

11Turnovers10

5Steals8

6Blocks9

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamier Jones	F	33	7-11	2-3	4-4	7	4	0	0	20
Jaylin Sellers	G	33	3-10	0-1	12-13	7	2	1	0	18
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	25	7-9	0-0	0-0	10	0	1	4	14
Stefan Vaaks	G	35	4-14	1-6	3-5	1	3	0	1	12
Nilavan Daniels	G	16	2-2	2-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	7
Ryan Mela	G	26	1-2	0-0	4-6	0	0	1	0	6
Peteris Pinnis	F	10	2-2	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	1	4
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Duncan Powell	F	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	19	8-9	0-0	3-9	6	1	1	4	19
Solo Ball	G	34	5-18	2-10	5-5	2	1	0	0	17
Silas Demary Jr.	G	33	3-6	3-5	6-8	4	6	1	0	15
Eric Reibe	C	21	6-6	0-0	2-3	8	0	1	2	14
Malachi Smith	G	30	4-8	4-4	0-1	1	7	2	1	12
Alex Karaban	F	38	3-14	2-5	0-0	9	7	2	2	8
Jaylin Stewart	F	11	0-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Jayden Ross	F	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

112.5Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency112.5

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

52.8%Effective FG%53.1%

58.9%True Shooting %55.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.6%

57.4%Free Throw Rate43.1%

25.9%3-Point Rate36.9%

0.91Assist / Turnover2.30

Game Summary

UConn won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.