Notre Dame

13-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.7%Notre Dame

98.3%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -27.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -5782

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 61

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreDuke 88

Team Comparison

Notre DameMetricDuke

49.7MMH Power Index81.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency122.2

111.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

-0.9Net Efficiency27.0

4.7Strength of Schedule7.8

-11.6Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

68.0Tempo66.8

53.0%Effective FG%56.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate39.0%

-0.6Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–49.7), offensive efficiency (122.2–110.3), defensive efficiency (95.2–111.2), net efficiency (27.0–-0.9).

Final

Notre Dame

78—86

Duke

Duke by 8 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Notre DameTEAM STATDuke

27-57FG24-45

47.0%FG%53.0%

14-243PT8-24

58.0%3PT%33.0%

10-16FT30-35

63.0%FT%86.0%

21Rebounds34

5Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists17

7Turnovers8

3Steals2

1Blocks1

27Fouls17

Player Box Score

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Markus Burton	G	34	8-17	4-6	3-4	5	2	0	1	23
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	38	5-8	3-4	1-4	3	4	0	0	14
Tae Davis	F	32	4-11	1-2	2-2	4	2	0	0	11
Sir Mohammed	G	15	4-7	2-4	1-2	2	1	0	0	11
Matt Allocco	Guard	37	2-7	2-6	2-2	2	3	1	0	8
J.R. Konieczny	F	19	2-5	2-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Kebba Njie	F	15	2-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	0	5
Julian Roper II	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Garrett Sundra	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Flagg	Forward	36	11-14	4-6	16-17	6	7	1	0	42
Khaman Maluach	Center	32	6-7	0-0	7-8	10	0	0	1	19
Kon Knueppel	Guard	34	3-8	2-7	5-6	3	5	0	0	13
Sion James	Guard	30	1-4	1-2	1-2	4	3	0	0	4
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	28	1-6	1-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Mason Gillis	Forward	18	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	3
Patrick Ngongba II	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Caleb Foster	G	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Evans	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Maliq Brown	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

120.7Offensive Efficiency133.1

133.1Defensive Efficiency120.7

-12.4Net Efficiency12.4

59.6%Effective FG%62.2%

60.4%True Shooting %69.8%

10.5%Turnover Rate12.8%

28.1%Free Throw Rate77.8%

42.1%3-Point Rate53.3%

2.14Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Duke won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.