SMU

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.5%SMU

73.5%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL163.7

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -277

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSMU 78

Projected Total163.7

Projected ScoreLouisville 86

Team Comparison

SMUMetricLouisville

62.5MMH Power Index67.1

118.2Offensive Efficiency118.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency102.2

8.6Net Efficiency16.4

7.0Strength of Schedule6.0

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

71.1Tempo71.0

55.7%Effective FG%56.9%

15.7%Turnover Rate16.8%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

31.3%Free Throw Rate34.1%

6.1Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–62.5), offensive efficiency (118.6–118.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–109.6), net efficiency (16.4–8.6).

SMU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–6.0), ball security (15.7–16.8), offensive rebounding (35.0–32.3).

Final

SMU

74—88

Louisville

Louisville by 14 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SMUTEAM STATLouisville

30-62FG31-63

48.0%FG%49.0%

8-253PT10-35

32.0%3PT%29.0%

6-9FT16-23

67.0%FT%70.0%

34Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists20

16Turnovers11

8Steals9

2Blocks3

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boopie Miller	G	38	8-14	2-4	2-2	2	4	0	0	20
Samet Yigitoglu	C	27	7-8	0-1	0-2	8	0	1	1	14
B.J. Edwards	G	36	5-11	1-3	2-2	8	0	3	0	13
Corey Washington	F	29	5-10	3-8	0-0	4	0	2	0	13
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	32	3-11	1-4	2-3	5	3	2	0	9
Sam Walters	F	8	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jaden Toombs	C	12	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Jermaine O'Neal Jr.	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Mitchell Holmes	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
B.J. Davis-Ray	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikel Brown Jr.	G	29	7-14	3-8	3-5	3	4	1	0	20
Isaac McKneely	G	24	5-10	4-9	0-0	3	1	0	0	14
Ryan Conwell	G	34	4-15	1-11	3-3	5	3	2	0	12
Khani Rooths	F	20	4-5	0-1	4-5	10	2	1	0	12
J'Vonne Hadley	G	29	4-8	0-3	2-4	4	1	2	0	10
Aly Khalifa	C	14	3-4	2-3	0-0	0	2	1	1	8
Kobe Rodgers	G	12	2-2	0-0	3-4	3	4	0	0	7
Sananda Fru	F	18	1-3	0-0	1-2	3	2	1	2	3
Adrian Wooley	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Vangelis Zougris	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

99.2Offensive Efficiency118.0

118.0Defensive Efficiency99.2

-18.8Net Efficiency18.8

54.8%Effective FG%57.1%

55.8%True Shooting %59.5%

21.8%Turnover Rate14.5%

14.5%Free Throw Rate36.5%

40.3%3-Point Rate55.6%

0.44Assist / Turnover1.82

Game Summary

Louisville won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.