Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Ohio State

62.5%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -167

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 77

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreWisconsin 82

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricWisconsin

64.5MMH Power Index64.5

118.1Offensive Efficiency118.6

108.1Defensive Efficiency108.8

10.0Net Efficiency9.8

6.4Strength of Schedule6.7

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

67.2Tempo69.9

56.9%Effective FG%54.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate12.8%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

38.3%Free Throw Rate32.5%

6.7Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (108.1–108.8), net efficiency (10.0–9.8), recent form (6.3–5.6), shooting efficiency (56.9–54.6).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.6–118.1), strength of schedule (6.7–6.4), ball security (12.8–15.3).

Final

Ohio State

82—92

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 10 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATWisconsin

28-69FG32-62

41.0%FG%52.0%

10-293PT9-26

34.0%3PT%35.0%

16-18FT19-21

89.0%FT%90.0%

37Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists16

7Turnovers5

2Steals3

1Blocks4

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruce Thornton	G	36	6-11	2-4	4-6	4	2	1	0	18
Amare Bynum	F	35	6-12	2-5	4-4	8	1	0	1	18
Devin Royal	F	33	5-13	0-5	6-6	6	0	0	0	16
Taison Chatman	G	17	5-6	4-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	14
John Mobley Jr.	G	27	4-12	1-8	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Puff Johnson	G	12	1-2	1-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	5
Gabe Cupps	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Christoph Tilly	C	19	0-8	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Ivan Njegovan	C	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Colin White	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Blackwell	G	36	8-13	1-4	5-5	4	4	3	0	22
Nick Boyd	G	38	6-15	1-3	8-8	1	2	0	0	21
Austin Rapp	F	20	7-10	5-7	0-0	6	0	0	0	19
Nolan Winter	F	32	5-11	0-5	1-2	11	3	0	2	11
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	25	3-4	0-0	4-4	7	0	0	1	10
Braeden Carrington	G	29	2-7	2-6	1-2	1	4	0	1	7
Jack Janicki	G	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Will Garlock	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

116.6Offensive Efficiency130.9

130.9Defensive Efficiency116.6

-14.2Net Efficiency14.2

47.8%Effective FG%58.9%

52.9%True Shooting %63.9%

9.9%Turnover Rate7.1%

26.1%Free Throw Rate33.9%

42.0%3-Point Rate41.9%

1.29Assist / Turnover3.20

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.