Texas Tech

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.3%Texas Tech

38.7%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas Tech -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL159.6

MODEL MONEYLINETexas Tech -158

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas Tech 81

Projected Total159.6

Projected ScoreUCF 79

Team Comparison

Texas TechMetricUCF

65.8MMH Power Index57.1

117.8Offensive Efficiency113.3

107.2Defensive Efficiency110.0

10.6Net Efficiency3.3

9.4Strength of Schedule6.6

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

68.1Tempo71.2

56.4%Effective FG%53.0%

15.8%Turnover Rate16.0%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

28.2%Free Throw Rate31.1%

7.2Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas Tech holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.8–57.1), offensive efficiency (117.8–113.3), defensive efficiency (107.2–110.0), net efficiency (10.6–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.3–32.6), free throw rate (31.1–28.2).

Final

Texas Tech

80—88

UCF

UCF by 8 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas TechTEAM STATUCF

31-55FG32-65

56.0%FG%49.0%

11-293PT6-13

38.0%3PT%46.0%

7-12FT18-22

58.0%FT%82.0%

23Rebounds35

4Offensive Rebounds13

19Assists19

13Turnovers6

3Steals6

3Blocks1

15Fouls11

Player Box Score

Texas Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Toppin	F	37	12-17	2-4	1-3	10	2	1	1	27
Christian Anderson	G	40	5-10	3-8	4-4	1	9	1	0	17
Donovan Atwell	G	37	4-7	3-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	11
LeJuan Watts	F	23	3-9	2-6	1-2	2	2	0	0	9
Josiah Moseley	F	17	3-3	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	6
Jaylen Petty	G	29	2-6	0-3	1-2	2	4	1	0	5
Tyeree Bryan	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Luke Bamgboye	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	2

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Themus Fulks	G	34	9-23	1-3	2-2	3	7	0	0	21
Jordan Burks	F	36	5-7	1-1	6-6	4	1	0	0	17
John Bol	C	29	6-8	0-0	2-3	10	0	0	1	14
Jamichael Stillwell	F	35	3-8	1-1	3-4	10	4	1	0	10
Riley Kugel	G	29	2-9	1-4	4-5	2	3	3	0	9
Chris Johnson	G	17	3-5	0-1	1-2	0	2	2	0	7
Carmelo Pacheco	G	15	2-3	2-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Devan Cambridge	F	5	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

115.8Offensive Efficiency127.4

127.4Defensive Efficiency115.8

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

66.4%Effective FG%53.8%

65.9%True Shooting %58.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate8.8%

21.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

52.7%3-Point Rate20.0%

1.46Assist / Turnover3.17

Game Summary

UCF won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.