Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.8%Kentucky

75.2%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -7.7

PROJECTED TOTAL168.1

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -303

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 80

Projected Total168.1

Projected ScoreArkansas 88

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricArkansas

63.9MMH Power Index69.3

115.2Offensive Efficiency122.2

106.3Defensive Efficiency109.8

8.9Net Efficiency12.4

8.7Strength of Schedule8.6

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.9Tempo73.8

53.2%Effective FG%56.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate12.2%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

38.0%Free Throw Rate36.5%

6.2Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–63.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.2), net efficiency (12.4–8.9), recent form (3.4–-1.0).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.3–109.8), strength of schedule (8.7–8.6), offensive rebounding (33.2–31.8).

Final

Kentucky

85—77

Arkansas

Kentucky by 8 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATArkansas

30-56FG29-59

54.0%FG%49.0%

6-133PT3-14

46.0%3PT%21.0%

19-30FT16-26

63.0%FT%62.0%

35Rebounds26

10Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists10

7Turnovers4

2Steals2

6Blocks3

22Fouls24

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Otega Oweh	G	38	9-12	0-1	6-11	8	3	1	0	24
Collin Chandler	G	23	5-9	2-4	1-1	1	1	1	0	13
Malachi Moreno	C	27	4-7	0-0	3-4	7	1	0	2	11
Denzel Aberdeen	G	38	4-9	2-3	0-0	1	3	0	1	10
Trent Noah	F	19	1-3	1-1	6-8	7	0	0	0	9
Andrija Jelavic	F	13	3-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	26	1-5	0-1	3-6	5	0	0	3	5
Brandon Garrison	F	13	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	4
Jasper Johnson	G	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Acuff Jr.	G	39	8-20	1-4	5-8	2	3	0	0	22
Trevon Brazile	F	38	5-10	2-6	4-6	8	2	0	3	16
Billy Richmond III	G	28	6-8	0-1	2-3	5	1	1	0	14
Malique Ewin	F	25	4-8	0-0	3-6	5	2	1	0	11
Meleek Thomas	G	26	4-8	0-1	2-2	0	1	0	0	10
D.J. Wagner	G	15	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Karter Knox	G	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nick Pringle	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

127.1Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency127.1

12.0Net Efficiency-12.0

58.9%Effective FG%51.7%

60.5%True Shooting %54.0%

10.4%Turnover Rate6.0%

53.6%Free Throw Rate44.1%

23.2%3-Point Rate23.7%

1.57Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.