Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%Auburn

72.7%Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee -266

Tennessee

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 75

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreTennessee 83

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricTennessee

64.4MMH Power Index68.6

118.8Offensive Efficiency115.8

113.0Defensive Efficiency102.1

5.8Net Efficiency13.7

7.5Strength of Schedule7.8

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

69.8Tempo68.1

53.1%Effective FG%51.6%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %44.5%

43.8%Free Throw Rate38.6%

4.1Average Margin9.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.6–64.4), defensive efficiency (102.1–113.0), net efficiency (13.7–5.8), strength of schedule (7.8–7.5).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.8–115.8), recent form (8.0–3.3), shooting efficiency (53.1–51.6).

Final

Auburn

69—77

Tennessee

Tennessee by 8 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATTennessee

24-63FG24-54

38.0%FG%44.0%

7-313PT4-13

23.0%3PT%31.0%

14-20FT25-31

70.0%FT%81.0%

30Rebounds46

12Offensive Rebounds17

13Assists17

10Turnovers15

9Steals7

1Blocks2

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	35	7-17	3-9	4-5	4	2	3	0	21
Tahaad Pettiford	G	35	4-14	2-11	1-1	3	7	1	0	11
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	27	3-5	0-0	3-4	2	1	0	0	9
Filip Jovic	F	17	2-2	0-0	4-8	7	1	2	0	8
Kevin Overton	G	30	2-10	1-7	2-2	3	0	1	0	7
Elyjah Freeman	G	28	3-8	1-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	7
KeShawn Murphy	F	23	3-7	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	1	6
Blake Muschalek	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Ament	F	37	4-16	2-6	12-15	8	1	0	1	22
Jaylen Carey	F	27	5-9	0-0	3-4	8	1	0	0	13
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	29	3-7	1-4	4-4	2	5	1	0	11
DeWayne Brown II	F	33	3-5	0-0	4-5	7	4	2	1	10
J.P. Estrella	F	17	4-5	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	8
Bishop Boswell	G	30	3-5	1-1	0-0	8	3	2	0	7
Amari Evans	G	24	2-7	0-2	2-2	8	1	2	0	6
Amaree Abram	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Troy Henderson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

100.6Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency100.6

-11.7Net Efficiency11.7

43.7%Effective FG%48.1%

47.6%True Shooting %56.0%

14.2%Turnover Rate22.5%

31.7%Free Throw Rate57.4%

49.2%3-Point Rate24.1%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Tennessee won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.