Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%Saint Mary's

75.8%Gonzaga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -8.9

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -313

Gonzaga

31-4

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 69

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreGonzaga 78

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricGonzaga

70.7MMH Power Index76.4

116.7Offensive Efficiency119.7

97.4Defensive Efficiency94.0

19.3Net Efficiency25.7

3.0Strength of Schedule3.0

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency18.2

66.3Tempo70.4

53.1%Effective FG%55.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate13.6%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

36.8%Free Throw Rate31.5%

12.8Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–70.7), offensive efficiency (119.7–116.7), defensive efficiency (94.0–97.4), net efficiency (25.7–19.3).

Saint Mary's COUNTERS WITHrecent form (18.6–18.2), offensive rebounding (37.4–35.0), free throw rate (36.8–31.5).

Final

Saint Mary's

65—73

Gonzaga

Gonzaga by 8 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATGonzaga

18-53FG27-58

34.0%FG%47.0%

6-213PT6-17

29.0%3PT%35.0%

23-25FT13-21

92.0%FT%62.0%

34Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists18

11Turnovers10

6Steals6

1Blocks5

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Dent	G	35	6-12	1-3	3-3	6	3	1	0	16
Paulius Murauskas	F	33	5-14	1-3	4-5	4	0	2	0	15
Dillan Shaw	G	40	3-7	2-5	5-5	2	0	1	0	13
Liam Campbell	G	20	0-5	0-3	6-6	2	2	0	0	6
Harry Wessels	C	20	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	2	0	1	4
Mikey Lewis	G	19	1-5	1-5	1-2	2	0	1	0	4
Mantas Juzenas	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Andrew McKeever	C	20	0-5	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	0	2
Rory Hawke	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Tony Duckett	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	37	11-20	3-5	5-5	4	1	1	1	30
Jalen Warley	G	33	5-7	0-0	0-1	7	2	1	0	10
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	27	4-9	2-4	0-0	5	2	1	1	10
Mario Saint-Supery	G	25	2-4	1-2	4-4	3	5	1	0	9
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	24	2-7	0-1	1-5	7	3	0	1	5
Adam Miller	G	17	2-7	0-4	0-1	3	1	0	0	4
Davis Fogle	G	16	1-3	0-1	1-2	3	0	1	2	3
Braeden Smith	G	15	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	4	1	0	2
Ismaila Diagne	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Steele Venters	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

95.6Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency95.6

-11.8Net Efficiency11.8

39.6%Effective FG%51.7%

50.1%True Shooting %53.7%

16.0%Turnover Rate14.9%

47.2%Free Throw Rate36.2%

39.6%3-Point Rate29.3%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.