Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.4%Illinois

36.6%Nebraska

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -173

Nebraska

28-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 75

Projected Total148.9

Projected ScoreNebraska 74

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricNebraska

76.5MMH Power Index67

125.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

103.3Defensive Efficiency98.3

21.7Net Efficiency16.1

6.7Strength of Schedule6.1

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

66.5Tempo67.3

54.8%Effective FG%55.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate14.4%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

33.8%Free Throw Rate26.9%

14.5Average Margin10.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–67.0), offensive efficiency (125.0–114.4), net efficiency (21.7–16.1), strength of schedule (6.7–6.1).

Nebraska COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.3–103.3), shooting efficiency (55.6–54.8).

Final

Illinois

78—69

Nebraska

Illinois by 9 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATNebraska

24-54FG25-59

44.0%FG%42.0%

9-303PT15-35

30.0%3PT%43.0%

21-26FT4-5

81.0%FT%80.0%

40Rebounds27

11Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists17

8Turnovers8

3Steals5

6Blocks2

10Fouls19

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keaton Wagler	G	38	7-15	4-9	10-12	5	5	2	0	28
Jake Davis	F	30	3-6	3-6	4-6	3	0	0	1	13
Tomislav Ivisic	C	32	5-7	2-4	0-0	8	3	0	1	12
David Mirkovic	F	33	4-10	0-3	2-2	8	1	0	0	10
Andrej Stojakovic	G	29	2-7	0-2	4-4	2	4	0	0	8
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	20	3-3	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	2	7
Ben Humrichous	F	18	0-6	0-6	0-0	3	1	1	2	0

Nebraska

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Frager	F	31	6-12	6-12	2-2	2	1	0	0	20
Pryce Sandfort	F	38	5-11	4-9	0-0	5	0	1	0	14
Sam Hoiberg	G	36	5-9	2-4	1-2	6	6	1	0	13
Jamarques Lawrence	G	25	4-9	2-3	0-0	0	3	1	0	10
Rienk Mast	F	26	2-10	0-3	1-1	4	5	0	0	5
Cale Jacobsen	G	19	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	2	1	4
Berke Buyuktuncel	F	25	1-4	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

123.0Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency123.0

14.2Net Efficiency-14.2

52.8%Effective FG%55.1%

58.8%True Shooting %56.2%

12.6%Turnover Rate12.6%

48.1%Free Throw Rate8.5%

55.6%3-Point Rate59.3%

1.88Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

Illinois won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.