Syracuse

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.4%Syracuse

87.6%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -12.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -706

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSyracuse 70

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 82

Team Comparison

SyracuseMetricNorth Carolina

52.2MMH Power Index65.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency115.5

106.6Defensive Efficiency103.8

2.6Net Efficiency11.7

5.6Strength of Schedule7.6

-15.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

69.0Tempo69.0

52.9%Effective FG%54.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.9%

29.0%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

36.2%Free Throw Rate38.1%

1.8Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–52.2), offensive efficiency (115.5–109.2), defensive efficiency (103.8–106.6), net efficiency (11.7–2.6).

Final

Syracuse

77—87

North Carolina

North Carolina by 10 • 72.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SyracuseTEAM STATNorth Carolina

29-65FG27-56

45.0%FG%48.0%

6-183PT8-18

33.0%3PT%44.0%

13-19FT25-35

68.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists16

10Turnovers11

6Steals3

8Blocks1

24Fouls19

Player Box Score

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donnie Freeman	F	35	8-14	2-4	5-6	8	0	2	2	23
Naithan George	G	30	6-12	2-5	1-2	1	4	1	0	15
J.J. Starling	G	30	5-13	0-1	3-3	3	1	0	0	13
Kiyan Anthony	G	16	3-10	0-3	4-4	2	0	1	0	10
Nate Kingz	G	30	3-6	2-3	0-1	4	2	1	1	8
Ibrahim Souare	F	10	3-3	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	1	6
William Kyle III	F	24	1-4	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	2	2
Tyler Betsey	F	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Sadiq White Jr.	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	2	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Wilson	F	32	6-14	0-1	10-13	9	1	1	0	22
Henri Veesaar	C	30	7-11	1-2	2-4	11	4	2	1	17
Jonathan Powell	G	13	4-5	3-4	1-2	1	0	0	0	12
Luka Bogavac	G	23	4-6	1-1	1-1	1	2	0	0	10
Seth Trimble	G	32	2-7	1-2	4-6	5	1	0	0	9
Derek Dixon	G	31	2-4	1-3	3-3	2	3	0	0	8
Jarin Stevenson	F	21	2-6	1-3	2-4	4	1	0	0	7
Jaydon Young	G	9	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	2	0	0	2
Kyan Evans	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Zayden High	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.3Possessions72.3

106.5Offensive Efficiency120.3

120.3Defensive Efficiency106.5

-13.8Net Efficiency13.8

49.2%Effective FG%55.4%

52.0%True Shooting %59.9%

13.7%Turnover Rate15.4%

29.2%Free Throw Rate62.5%

27.7%3-Point Rate32.1%

0.70Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 72.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.