Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

96.3%Gonzaga

3.7%Portland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -20.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -2603

Portland

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 87

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScorePortland 67

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricPortland

76.4MMH Power Index42.7

119.7Offensive Efficiency104.8

94.0Defensive Efficiency110.6

25.7Net Efficiency-5.8

3.0Strength of Schedule1.8

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.1

70.4Tempo71.0

55.7%Effective FG%52.0%

13.6%Turnover Rate19.3%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

31.5%Free Throw Rate36.9%

18.1Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–42.7), offensive efficiency (119.7–104.8), defensive efficiency (94.0–110.6), net efficiency (25.7–-5.8).

Portland COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.9–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

80—87

Portland

Portland by 7 • 74.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATPortland

26-65FG32-54

40.0%FG%59.0%

10-303PT7-16

33.0%3PT%44.0%

18-26FT16-20

69.0%FT%80.0%

27Rebounds32

13Offensive Rebounds6

19Assists22

9Turnovers17

8Steals2

4Blocks3

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	35	9-16	1-2	5-7	10	3	1	1	24
Mario Saint-Supery	G	23	4-10	4-8	0-0	0	2	0	0	12
Davis Fogle	G	25	4-9	1-3	1-2	4	3	0	2	10
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	24	2-6	0-1	5-8	5	3	2	1	9
Braeden Smith	G	19	2-4	1-3	4-4	3	1	3	0	9
Adam Miller	G	16	2-5	1-3	2-3	0	3	0	0	7
Steele Venters	G	22	2-8	2-7	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Jalen Warley	G	20	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	3	1	0	3
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	14	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Ismaila Diagne	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Foxwell	G	39	11-18	3-8	2-4	4	8	1	0	27
James O'Donnell	F	18	6-8	0-0	4-4	3	2	0	0	16
Cameron Williams	F	22	5-9	1-2	3-3	1	0	0	1	14
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	30	4-5	2-3	3-3	9	5	0	0	13
Garrett Nuckolls	G	37	4-10	0-2	3-4	5	4	1	1	11
Dante Censori-Hercules	G	32	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	1	3
NaVaughn Long	G	11	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Matúš Hronský	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Mikah Ballew	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sam Noland	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.0Possessions74.0

108.1Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency108.1

-9.5Net Efficiency9.5

47.7%Effective FG%65.7%

51.7%True Shooting %68.5%

12.3%Turnover Rate22.8%

40.0%Free Throw Rate37.0%

46.2%3-Point Rate29.6%

2.11Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Portland won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 74.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.